Published on March 4, 2014
DAILY REPORT 04th MARCH 2014 Global markets at a glance The rising threat of war between Ukraine and Russia spooked markets and sent investors scurrying for relative safety on Monday, pushing stocks down sharply and lifting gold to a four-month high. European equity investors took fright at Russia's military intervention in neighboring Ukraine on Monday, dragging the euro zone Euro STOXX 50 index to its biggest daily fall since June. The FTSEurofirst ended 2.2% lower at 1,318.24 pts, its steepest fall since Jan. 24, when economic and policy worries prompted a surge in anxiety over emerging market assets. Euro STOXX 50 index retreated 3% to 3,053.99 pts, its biggest fall since June 20, 2013. Japan's Nikkei average slid to a 1-1/2-week low on Monday as escalating tensions in Ukraine sparked risk aversion and a stronger yen hurt the mood, but the oil sector bucked the trend after crude prices rallied to multi-month highs. The Nikkei ended 1.3 % lower at 14,652.23, its lowest close since Feb. 20. The index extended losses into a fourth day. World Indices Index Value % Change 16,168.03 -0.94 S&P 500 1,845.73 -0.74 NASDAQ EURO STO FTSE 100 4,277.30 3,053.99 6,708.35 -0.72 -3.02 -1.49 Nikkei 225 Hong Kong 14,726.18 22,558.28 +0.50 +0.26 DJl Top Gainers Company CMP Change % Chg 129.00 1.50 +1.18 95.15 1.10 +1.17 JINDALSTEL 241.95 2.60 +1.09 CAIRN 327.50 3.30 +1.02 RELIANCE 804.25 4.30 +0.54 CMP Change % Chg 1,503.90 40.35 162.60 624.90 2817.75 71.65 1.55 5.15 19.80 77.75 -4.55 -3.70 -3.07 -3.07 -2.69 Prev. Close Change %Chg AMTEKAUTO 97.50 2.70 -2.69 BHARATFORG 383.50 0.85 +0.22 1024.50 9.00 -0.87 369.20 1.55 -0.42 Prev. Close Change %Chg 111.05 11.00 1.35 0.40 -1.20 -3.51 CMP Change % Chg 6,221.45 -55.50 -0.88 20,946.65 -173.47 -0.82 NMDC IDFC Top Losers Wall Street Update U.S. stocks tumbled on Monday alongside other risky assets globally as tensions in Ukraine and Russia escalated. The Dow Jones industrial average .DJI fell 153.68 points or 0.94 %, to end at 16,168.03. The S&P 500 .SPX slid 13.72 points or 0.74 %, to finish at 1,845.73. The Nasdaq Composite dropped 30.818 pts or 0.72 %, to close at 4,277.301. Company Previous day Roundup The market snapped five-day winning streak on the first day of the week, tracking weakness in global peers as investors remained cautious over rising tensions in Ukraine. The 30-share BSE benchmark Sensex closed below the 21000-mark, down 173.47 points to 20,946.65 while the Nifty fell 55.50 points to 6,221.45 weighed down by banks, capital goods, technology and healthcare stocks. Stocks at 52 Week’s high Index stats The Market was very volatile in yesterday’s session. The sartorial indices performed as follow Consumer Durables [up 103.59pts], Capital Good [down 107.61pts], PSU [down 27.65pts], FMCG [down 19.32pts], Realty [0.28 Pts], power [down 17.97pts], Auto [down 149.16pts], Healthcare [down 168.19pts], IT [down 122.53pts], Metals [down 12.82 pts], TECK [down 53.44pts], Oil& Gas [up 20.15pts]. HCLTECH JPASSOCIAT BHEL SUNPHARMA DRREDDY Symbol CADILAHC GAIL Stocks at 52 Week’s Low Symbol NTPC UNITECH Indian Indices Company NIFTY SENSEX YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
DAILY REPORT 04th MARCH 2014 EQUITY CASH & FUTURE STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE] 1. HPCL STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH] 1. ITC BUY HPCL F ABOVE 273 TGT 276-280 SL 268 BUY ITC CASH ABOVE 332 TGT 335-339 SL 328 2. HINDALCO MACRO NEWS The Indian manufacturing economy showed signs of strengthening in February with faster increase in output and new orders bolstering PMI to reach a one-year peak. the HSBC Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for manufacturing stood at 52.5 points in February, a oneyear high. It was 51.4 points in January. India is ready to pay $1.5 billion to Iran to clear part of a backlog of payments for shipments of oil following the partial easing of western sanctions on Tehran. Cipla have fallen over 8 per cent in last one month and continue to linger closer to lower end of 52-week trading range after disappointing third quarter results. Russian stocks and bonds fell sharply and the central bank raised interest rates to defend the ruble. Govt to rewrite BIPA to exclude taxation, intellectual property right issues. RBI grants 9 more months to exchange notes printed before 2005. Security firm SIS to buy Indian companies, targets 40% growth. HINDALCO F BUY ABOVE 106.50 TGT 108-110 SL 104.50 YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
DAILY REPORT FUTURE & OPTION 04th MARCH 2014 MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION Symbol Traded Volume (Contracts ) STOCKS IN NEWS India's top IT companies - TCS and Wipro - shelled out $ 510,000 (over Rs 3.15 crore) for lobbying on issues like immigration and trade with various government agencies in the US last year. Srei Infrastructure Finance is betting on 'last mile' financing to drive its business growth in the current uncertain macro-economic environment. Ramco Systems inks IT solutions deal with Malaysia Airlines. HUL becomes the most preferred employer for Bschool graduates. Option Type Strike Price LTP Open Interest NIFTY PE 6,200 74 3,09,226 55,89,300 NIFTY PE 6,100 43.55 1,92,969 48,04,850 NIFTY PE 6,300 119.7 1,62,292 24,59,750 BANKNIFTY PE 10,500 182 19,966 2,78,025 SBIN PE 1,500 40 5,753 2,50,750 ICICIBANK PE 1,000 18.4 2,793 2,54,250 AXISBANK PE 1,200 23.8 1,968 TCS PE 2,250 54.9 1,754 2,00,000 NIFTY FUTURE 55,750 MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION Symbol Option Type Strike Price LTP Traded Volume (Contracts) Open Interest NIFTY CE 6,300 55.1 2,55,931 51,16,250 NIFTY CE 6,400 23.6 2,00,218 43,40,500 NIFTY CE 6,500 8.45 1,11,824 30,22,200 BANKNIFTY CE 11,000 99.8 32,190 3,07,800 SBIN CE 1,550 27.75 10,068 8,22,000 TCS CE 2,300 31.5 3,806 1,70,250 RELIANCE CE 820 12 3,031 7,56,750 ICICIBANK CE 1,050 24.6 2,913 3,57,750 SELL NIFTY BLOW 6220 TGT 6200-6170 SL 6250 FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS BUY SELL OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY No. of Amount in No. of Amount in No. of Contracts Crores Contracts Crores Contracts Amount in Crores NET AMOUNT INDEX FUTURES 37633 1144.32 47957 1458.72 292112 8937.08 -314.40 INDEX OPTIONS 267941 8033.05 251351 7522.20 1102586 34081.16 510.86 STOCK FUTURES 79110 2512.83 74802 2357.10 1010572 30511.01 155.74 STOCK OPTIONS 39249 1147.82 37983 1104.70 38789 1109.92 43.12 TOTAL 395.31 INDICES NIFTY S2 S1 PIVOT R1 R2 6171.65 6196.55 6237.15 6262.05 6302.65 NIFTYJUNIOR 12048.66 12107.83 12185.01 12244.18 12321.36 BANK NIFTY 10477.18 10564.56 10700.38 10787.76 10923.58 YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
DAILY REPORT 04th MARCH 2014 COMMODITY MCX RECOMMENDATIONS SILVER TRADING STRATEGY: BUY SILVER(MAY) ABOVE 48350 TGTS 48550/48850 SL 48000 SELL SILVER(MAY) BELOW 47700 TGTS 47500/47200 SL 48050 GOLD COMMODITY ROUNDUP Silver prices went up by a whopping Rs 538 to Rs 46,900 per kg in futures trade yesterday after participants built-up speculative positions, largely driven by a firming trend overseas. At the MCX, silver for delivery in March shot up by Rs 538, or 1.16%, to Rs 46,900 per kg in a business turnover of 261 lots. Similarly, the white metal for delivery in May rose by Rs 548, or 1.16%, to Rs 47,825 per kg in 929 lots. The rise in silver prices at futures trade was attributed to a firming trend in the global markets as tension in Ukraine escalated by Russia's seizure of Crimea boosted demand for a safe haven. Meanwhile, silver advanced 1.10% to $21.46 an ounce in Singapore, after climbing 11% in February, the first monthly gain since October. Government agencies have started to make physical checks of gold stocks held by wholesalers to ensure inventories match the amount imported by banks and state-run traders, an industry association said, as the country steps up efforts to halt smuggling. The move could aggravate shortages in the physical market as authorities seize gold without a valid provenance, boosting premiums, which rallied to a record of $160 an ounce on London prices late last year. Silver prices went up by a whopping Rs 538 to Rs 46,900 per kg in futures trade today after participants built-up speculative positions, largely driven by a firming trend overseas. At the Multi Commodity Exchange, silver for delivery in March shot up by Rs 538, or 1.16%, to Rs 46,900 per kg in a business turnover of 261 lots. Similarly, the white metal for delivery in May rose by Rs 548, or 1.16%, to Rs 47,825 per kg in 929 lots. Brent and US crude oil rallied more than $2 per barrel to multi-month highs on Monday, lifted by rising tension in Ukraine after Russian President Vladimir Putin declared he had the right to invade his neighbor. Russia is the world's biggest oil producer and Ukrainian Prime Minister Arseny Yatseniuk said Moscow's move to use military force was a "declaration of war. "Brent crude hit a session peak of $111.24 per barrel, its highest since January 2. TRADING STRATEGY: BUY GOLD(APR) ABOVE 30670 TGTS 30750/30850 SL 30550 SELL GOLD(APR) BELOW 30350 TGTS 30270/30170 SL 30470 YOUR MINTVISORY Goa is set to hold another round of iron-ore auction on Wednesday, even as that auctioned in February hasn’t been lifted due to procedural hurdles. Call us at +91-731-6642300
DAILY REPORT 04th MARCH 2014 NCDEX RECOMMENDATIONS GUARGUM NCDEX INDICES Index Value % Change Castor Seed 4255 +2.09 Chana 3159 -0.75 Coriander 9316 -1.63 Cotton Seed Oilcake 1551 +0.58 11360 -1.07 Maize– Feed/Industrial Grade 1230 +0.57 Mustard seed 3582 -0.61 Soy Bean 4261 +0.48 Turmeric 7154 +2.35 Jeera BUY GURAGUM ABOVE 13100 TG 13150, 13230 SL 13010 SELL GURAGUM BELOW 12700 TG 12650 ,12570 SL 12790 DHANIYA NCDEX ROUNDUP Chana prices rose by 1.01 per cent to Rs 3,013 per quintal in futures trade yesterday as traders enlarged their holdings on account of the good demand in the spot market. At the National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange, chana for April delivery rose by Rs 30, or 1.01 per cent, to Rs 3,013 per quintal, with an open interest for 72,810 lots. The February contract added Rs 17, or 0.60 per cent, to Rs 2,832 per quintal, with an open interest of 52,310 lots. Coriander prices rose by 1.13 per cent to Rs 8,173 per quintal in futures trade yesterday as speculators enlarged their positions supported by rising demand in the spot markets amid limited stocks on account of restricted arrivals from the major growing belts. Sentiment improved further as the investors enlarged their At the National Commodity and Derivative Exchange, coriander for February delivery gained Rs 91, or 1.13 per cent, to Rs 8,173 per quintal with an open interest of 27,900 lots. The April contract was up Rs 37, or 0.42 per cent, to Rs 8,920 per quintal, with an open interest of 27,060 lots. BUY DHANIYA ABOVE 9390 TG 9410,9460 SL 9340 SELLDHANIYA BELOW 9220 TG 9190,9140 SL 9270 YOUR MINTVISORY Potato prices edged higher by 0.63 per cent to Rs 1,060 per quintal in futures market today as speculators increased their positions amid a firming trend at spot markets on strong demand amid restricted arrivals. Call us at +91-731-6642300
DAILY REPORT 04th MARCH 2014 CURRENCY RBI Reference Rate Currency Rate Currency Rupee- $ 61.8605 Yen-100 Euro 85.3085 GBP GBP/INR BUY GBP-INR ABOVE 104.59 TGTS 104.72, 104.87 SL 104.29. SELL GBP-INR BELOW 103.92 TGTS 103.79, 103.64 SL 104.22. Rate 61.0100 103.5235 CURRENCY ROUNDUP The Indian rupee slipped in the early trade yesterday. It has opened lower by 18 paisa at 61.94 per dollar versus 61.76 Friday. The Indian Rupee decreased to 62.06 in March from 62.10 in February of 2014. Indian Rupee averaged 32.45 from 1973 until 2014, reaching an all time high of 68.61 in September of 2013 and a record low of 7.19 in March of 1973. The USDINR spot exchange rate specifies how much one currency, the USD, is currently worth in terms of the other, the INR. While the USDINR spot exchange rate is quoted and exchanged in the same day, the USDINR forward rate is quoted yesterday but for delivery and payment on a specific future date. The Japanese yen rose across the board this morning, while investors gave risk currencies such as the Australian dollar a wide berth as Ukraine mobilized for war after Russia's President Vladimir Putin declared he had the right to invade the neighboring country. The safe-haven Swiss Franc was also in favor, rising to its highest in over a year against the Euro. Earlier, the euro hit its highest level against the dollar this year on Friday. EUR/INR The data helped to underpin the dollar, with the dollar index rebounding from a two-month low hit on Friday to stand at 80.059, compared to Friday's low of 79.688. The euro stood at $1.3710, off Friday's peak of $1.38255. Investors' risk-averse mood helped the yen, which stood near one-month high against the U.S. dollar. The yen fetched 101.44 yen to the dollar, not far from a one-month high of 101.20 hit on Monday. BUY EUR-INR ABOVE 86.01 TGTS 86.14, 86.29 SL 85.71. SELL EUR-INR BELOW 85.45 TGTS 85.32, 85.17 SL 85.75. YOUR MINTVISORY A risk-off theme prevailed on an escalation in geopolitical tension over Ukraine, a test firing of two missiles by North Korea, and a eight-month low in the official China manufacturing PMI. The USD was mixed, up on the CAD, net flat against the EUR and GBP, while lower against the outperforming JPY and the CHF in the usual currency risk-off pattern. Call us at +91-731-6642300
DAILY REPORT 04th MARCH 2014 CALL REPORT PERFORMANCE UPDATES Date Commodity/ Currency Pairs Contract Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark 03/03/14 MCX GOLD APR. BUY 30220 30300-30420 30120 BOOKED FULL PROFIT 03/03/14 MCX GOLD APR. SELL 30050 29970-29850 30150 NOT EXECUTED 03/03/14 MCX SILVER MAY BUY 47700 47950-48300 47500 NOT EXECUTED 03/03/14 MCX SILVER MAY SELL 47150 46900-46550 47500 NOT EXECUTED 03/03/14 NCDEX GUARGUM MAR. BUY 13370 13420-13500 13280 NOT EXECUTED 03/03/14 NCDEX GUARGUM MAR. SELL 12270 12220-12170 12360 NOT EXECUTED 03/03/14 NCDEX DHANIYA APR. BUY 9500 9530-9580 9450 NOT EXECUTED 03/03/14 NCDEX DHANIYA APR. SELL 9320 9290-9240 9370 BOOKED FULL PROFIT 03/03/14 USD/INR MAR. SELL 62.18 62.05-61.92 62.47 NO PROFIT NO LOSS 03/03/14 USD/INR MAR. BUY 62.48 62.61-62.75 62.19 NOT EXECUTED 03/03/14 JPY/INR MAR. SELL 60.97 60.83-60.69 61.26 NOT EXECUTED 03/03/14 JPY/INR MAR. BUY 61.32 61.45-61.59 61.03 BOOKED FULL PROFIT CASH/ FUTURE/ OPTION Strategy Date Scrip Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark 03/03/14 NIFTY FUTURE BUY 6250-6260 6300-6340 6220 BOOKED PROFIT 03/03/14 BIOCON FUTURE BUY 460 468-475 450 BOOKED PROFIT 03/03/14 HINDALCO FUTURE BUY 104-105 107-109 102 NOT EXECUTED 03/03/14 INDOCO REMEDIES CASH BUY 140-145 155-160 130 CALL OPEN 28/02/14 POLARIS CASH BUY 155-160 170-175 145 CALL OPEN 17/02/14 AMTEK INDIA CASH BUY 64-65 70-75 60 CALL OPEN 10/02/14 KRBL CASH BUY 45-46 50-54 40 CALL OPEN YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
DAILY REPORT ECONOMIC CALENDAR 04th MARCH 2014 NEXT WEEK'S U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS TIME (ET) REPORT PERIOD ACTUAL CONSENSUS FORECAST PREVIOUS MONDAY, MARCH 3 8:30 am Personal income Jan. 0.2% 0.0% 8:30 am Consumer spending Jan. 0.2% 0.4% 9 am Markit PMI Feb. -- 56.7 10 am Construction spending Jan. -0.4% 0.1% 10 AM ISM NONMANUFACTURING JAN. 53.0% TUESDAY, MARCH 04 None scheduled WEDNESDAY, MARCH 05 8:15 am ADP employment Feb. -- 175,000 10 am ISM nonmanufacturing Feb. 53.5% 54.0% 2 pm Beige Book THURSDAY, MARCH 06 8:30 am Weekly jobless claims 3-1 338,000 348.000 8:30 am Productivity 4Q 1.7% 3.2% 10 am Factory orders Jan. -0.8% -1.5% FRIDAY ,MARCH 07 8:30 am Nonfarm payrolls Feb. 140,000 113,000 8:30 am Unemployment rate Feb. 6.6% 6.6% 8:30 am Trade deficit Jan. -39.9 bln -$38.7 bln 3 pm Consumer credit Jan. -- $18.8 bln Disclaimer The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most. Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility. The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE. The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any views expressed as a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for . Any surfing and reading of the information is the acceptance of this disclaimer. All Rights Reserved. Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks. We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. We are not responsible for any loss incurred whatsoever for any financial profits or loss which may arise from the recommendations above epic research does not purport to be an invitation or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument. Our Clients (Paid or Unpaid), any third party or anyone else have no rights to forward or share our calls or SMS or Report or Any Information Provided by us to/with anyone which is received directly or indirectly by them. If found so then Serious Legal Actions can be taken. YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
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