Sept 2009 Final

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Information about Sept 2009 Final

Published on October 9, 2009

Author: brooks.tagg


Economic Indicators: An Update for the 7 Rivers Region

Disclaimer: I’ll pretend to know, but I probably don’t. And the views expressed today might be my own, but they probably do not reflect the views of the sponsors, my employer, or my parents.

Housing Market An update on local foreclosures and prices

Health Care The “problems” and their local impact

Myth Businesses are less competitive because of the burden of health care.

National Compensation Measures as a Share of GDP, NIPA 1960-2006 Private Group Health Insurance 56.4% of GDP 56.3% of GDP Other Fringe Benefits and Payroll Taxes 3.8% 6.7% 0.6% 4.1% Wages 51.8% 45.6% 2006 Source: Kaiser Family Foundation analysis of data from the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, National Income and Product Accounts, 1960-2006, Tables 1.1.5, 2.1, 6.11B, 6.11C, & 6.11D, 2008.

Myth Costs are rising more rapidly than other countries.

“If something can't go on forever, it won't.“ ~Herb Stein

Problem US has highest per capita health spending

Explanations High Income High Dispersion of Health Insurance High Technology

Local Impact None of the proposals will address these issues. Expect expenditures to increase.

Per Capita Stimulus Spending from ARRA $3 $10 $1,334 $26 $90 $24

Long Term Consequences Increase in publicly held debt.

Long Term Fiscal Problems Medicare and Social Security.

Inflation Is not the worry. Overly aggressive monetary policy is…

“Either cuts in spending or increases in taxes will be necessary to stabilize the fiscal situation,” “The Federal Reserve will not monetize the debt.”

Green Shoots?

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