PURI SCAG Presentation 111601 1

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Information about PURI SCAG Presentation 111601 1
Business-Finance

Published on April 10, 2008

Author: Irvette

Source: authorstream.com

Slide1:  Southern California Association of Governments November 16, 2001 Presented by Anil K. Puri, Ph.D. Dean, College of Business and Economics California State University, Fullerton Regional Economic Forecast 2002-2003 Slide2:  09.11.01 Slide3:  Consumer Confidence Index Slide4:  Rates of Unemployment Slide5:  GDP Growth and Index of Leading Indicators Slide6:  Before September 11, 2001 Active Housing Markets Income Tax Rebates Steady Consumer Spending Federal Rate Cuts Slide7:  Two Views Of The Future One: Extended military action lasting many months, possibly years Huge security costs, lower productivity Severe and lasting cutbacks in consumer spending Slide8:  Two Views Of The Future Two: Limited Duration War Stimulative monetary and fiscal policies Consumer spending to recover by early 2002. Slide9:  Setting the Stage For Recovery… Expansionary Monetary Policy Fiscal Stimulus Low Inflation Inventory Correction Postponed Investment Decisions Slide10:  Federal Funds Rate Changes Slide11:  Fiscal Stimulus Tax Rebates = $ 35 billions Airlines Rescue = $15 billions New York City = $40 billions Proposed: Tax Cuts/Spending = $75 – $100 billions Slide12:  Business Productivity, 1992 = 100 Slide13:  Real GDP Growth Quarterly at Annual Rates Slide14:  ‘01 ‘02 ‘03 GDP 1.0 1.6 3.8 Unemployment % 4.9 5.8 5.3 10 Yr. Bond Rate 5.0 5.5 6.2 Inflation (CPI) 3.1 2.6 2.5 Housing Starts (Mil.) 1.6 1.4 1.5 National Economic Scenario Slide15:  Southern California Slide16:  Payroll Employment Index 1988 = 100 Slide17:  Monthly Payroll Job Growth, LA and OC Year-Over-Year, Index: January 2000 = 100 Slide18:  Los Angeles Employment Growth Slide19:  Payroll Employment Growth Slide20:  Riverside-San Bernardino Payroll Employment Growth Slide21:  Orange County Payroll Employment Increase Slide22:  Payroll Employment Growth Selected Orange County Sectors Slide23:  Tourism Sector Employment as Share of Total Southern California, 2000 Slide24:  Personal Income Percentage Change, Southern California Slide25:  Taxable Sales Percentage Change, Southern California Slide26:  Housing Prices, Index 1990 = 100 Slide27:  Summary

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