MNI India Consumer Overview January 2014

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Information about MNI India Consumer Overview January 2014
Finance

Published on February 5, 2014

Author: MNIIndicators

Source: slideshare.net

Description

The MNI India Consumer Indicator declined in January to the lowest level since October, driven by a fall in consumers’ intentions to purchase a large household item.

Insight and data for better decisions MNI India Consumer Indicator Falls to 121.2 in January, the Lowest Level in Three Months Durable Buying Conditions Pulls Down Sentiment The MNI India Consumer Indicator declined in January to the lowest level since October, driven by a fall in consumers’ intentions to purchase a large household item. The Consumer Indicator fell to 121.2 in January from 123.9 in December, a decline of 2.1% on the month. While January’s fall was partly seasonal, following the festive period, sentiment was still down 4.8% compared with a year earlier, underlying the economic weakness that India has seen over the past 12 months. Four out of the five components which make up the India Consumer Indicator fell in January. The only component to increase was Business Conditions in a Year, although it was almost 8% down compared with the same period last year. period, but the fall in January leaves sentiment down nearly 5% on January last year.” “Consumers remain concerned about the continued high level of inflation which has squeezed disposable income over the past year and don’t see an end to high prices any time soon. Hopes are running high that the elections in May will see a new government drive through economic reforms and policies to lift India out of its current malaise.” MNI India Consumer Indicator 140 130 The Durable Buying Conditions Indicator fell 8.2% on the month to 106.0, and was 6.2% below the level seen in January 2013, highlighting the squeeze on household income over the past year. 120 Respondents were still very dissatisfied with the current level of prices, while inflation expectations remained at an elevated level. 100 Nov-12 Jan-13 Mar-13 May-13 Jul-13 Sep-13 Nov-13 Jan-14 Commenting on the latest survey, Chief Economist of MNI Indicators Philip Uglow said, “There was a welcome pick-up in confidence over the recent festive 110 For more information, please contact: Customer Support support@mni-indicators.com +44 (0)20 7862 7444 Copyright© 2014 MNI Indicators | Deutsche Börse Group. Reproduction or retransmission in whole or in part is prohibited except by permission. All rights reserved.

MNI Indicators - January 2014 All India - Overview Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Highest Since Lowest Since 3-Month Average Monthly Change Monthly % Change MNI India Consumer Indicator 122.5 123.9 121.2 - Oct-13 122.6 -2.7 -2.1% Current Indicator 117.0 119.0 113.2 - Sep-13 116.4 -5.8 -4.8% Expectations Indicator 126.2 127.2 126.6 - Nov-13 126.7 -0.6 -0.5% Personal Finance: Current 123.3 122.5 120.5 - Oct-13 122.1 -2.0 -1.7% Personal Finance: Expected 125.3 131.0 127.8 - Nov-13 128.0 -3.2 -2.5% Business Condition: 1 Year 118.2 117.4 119.3 Oct-13 - 118.3 1.9 1.6% Business Condition: 5 Year 135.2 133.1 132.7 - Oct-13 133.7 -0.4 -0.3% Durable Buying Conditions 110.7 115.5 106.0 - Sep-13 110.7 -9.5 -8.2% Current Business Conditions Indicator 109.1 114.5 108.9 - Oct-13 110.8 -5.6 -4.9% 96.8 102.3 102.3 - Nov-13 100.4 0.0 0.0% 113.2 114.4 114.2 - Nov-13 113.9 -0.2 -0.2% 65.7 73.8 69.2 - Nov-13 69.6 -4.6 -6.2% Employment Outlook Indicator 121.0 117.6 112.0 - series low 116.9 -5.6 -4.8% Inflation Expectations Indicator 159.2 152.6 153.6 Nov-13 - 155.1 1.0 0.6% Current Prices Satisfaction Indicator 70.2 86.2 75.7 - Nov-13 77.4 -10.5 -12.2% Interest Rates Expectations Indicator 138.8 140.4 136.3 - Sep-13 138.5 -4.1 -2.9% Stock Investment Indicator Real Estate Investment Indicator Car Purchase Indicator info@mni-indicators.com | www.mni-indicators.com | @MNIIndicators 2

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