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MNI India Business Overview 2014-02

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Information about MNI India Business Overview 2014-02
Business & Mgmt

Published on February 20, 2014

Author: MNIIndicators

Source: slideshare.net

Description

MNI INDIA BUSINESS SENTIMENT EMBARGOED UNTIL 9.45 A.M. NEW DELHI TIME, 20 February 2014
MNI India Business Indicator Declined to 58.2 in February from 63.4 in January
Inventories Hit Record High
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Insight and data for better decisions MNI India Business Indicator Declined to 58.2 in February from 63.4 in January Inventories Hit Record High The MNI India Business Indicator declined to 58.2 in February from 63.4 in January, leaving confidence at the lowest level since December. The worsening was led by a fall in business conditions among service sector companies, while conditions remained broadly stable for both manufacturing and construction sector companies. In spite of the latest fall, sentiment stands above the level seen in February 2013, suggesting that the worst is over for the Indian economy. Both New Orders and Production fell in February while Inventories of Finished Goods hit the highest level on record, an indication that demand still remains weak. “Still, while conditions have improved compared with last year, the business environment remains challenging. Inventories have been building up significantly over the past three months. While some of this may be seasonal, in hand with low Order Backlogs, it reflects a weakness in overall demand.” MNI India Business Indicator 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 Commenting on the latest survey, Chief Economist for MNI Indicators Philip Uglow said, “Business sentiment slipped back in February, although it’s too early to say that this is the start of a sustained fall. Sentiment has remained broadly steady over the past six months and is above levels seen a year ago. The latest drop doesn’t alter this trend.” Future Expectations For more information, please contact: Customer Support support@mni-indicators.com +44 (0)20 7862 7444 Copyright© 2014 MNI Indicators | Deutsche Börse Group. Reproduction or retransmission in whole or in part is prohibited except by permission. All rights reserved. Jan-14 Feb-14 Dec-13 Oct-13 Current Conditions Nov-13 Sep-13 Aug-13 Jul-13 Jun-13 Apr-13 May-13 Feb-13 Mar-13 Jan-13 Dec-12 40 Nov-12 Higher input prices continued to hurt companies, with the Input Price Indicator rising to 73.0 from 69.8 in January. In spite of the elevated level of Input Prices, Prices Received by companies eased to the lowest since October.

MNI Indicators - February 2014 Overview Highest Since Lowest Since 58.2 - Dec-13 59.8 -5.2 -8.2% 69.5 - Oct-13 70.9 -2.5 -3.5% Feb -14 3-Month Average Monthly Change Monthly % Change Dec -13 Jan -14 Current Conditions 57.8 63.4 Future Expectations 71.1 72.0 Current Conditions 59.7 64.4 62.0 - Dec-13 62.0 -2.4 -3.7% Future Expectations 66.2 71.6 69.7 - Dec-13 69.2 -1.9 -2.7% Current Conditions 60.3 63.6 62.3 - Dec-13 62.1 -1.3 -2.0% Future Expectations 65.4 65.5 67.2 Nov-13 - 66.0 1.7 2.6% MNI India Business Indicator Production New Orders Export Orders Current Conditions 60.5 61.4 59.8 - Nov-13 60.6 -1.6 -2.6% Future Expectations 67.9 62.9 68.2 Sep-13 - 66.3 5.3 8.4% Current Conditions 51.3 58.0 56.1 - Dec-13 55.1 -1.9 -3.3% Future Expectations 57.5 64.3 60.0 - Dec-13 60.6 -4.3 -6.7% Current Conditions 41.7 35.6 39.8 Dec-13 - 39.0 4.2 11.8% Future Expectations 43.7 35.2 40.1 Dec-13 - 39.7 4.9 13.9% Productive Capacity Order Backlogs Employment Current Conditions 50.0 51.8 50.8 - Dec-13 50.9 -1.0 -1.9% Future Expectations 52.2 53.4 57.5 series high - 54.4 4.1 7.7% Current Conditions 53.1 62.1 64.9 series high - 60.0 2.8 4.5% Future Expectations 54.6 59.5 53.5 - Nov-13 55.9 -6.0 -10.1% Inventories Input Prices Current Conditions 71.8 69.8 73.0 Nov-13 - 71.5 3.2 4.6% Future Expectations 66.4 69.9 72.0 Nov-13 - 69.4 2.1 3.0% Prices Received Current Conditions 58.0 60.6 56.2 - Oct-13 58.3 -4.4 -7.3% Future Expectations 56.0 60.9 61.2 Nov-13 - 59.4 0.3 0.5% Current Conditions 65.2 68.2 69.3 Nov-13 - 67.6 1.1 1.6% Future Expectations 71.3 71.5 77.2 Sep-13 - 73.3 5.7 8.0% Current Conditions 69.2 60.5 67.3 Dec-13 - 65.7 6.8 11.2% Future Expectations 56.8 57.9 60.7 Nov-13 - 58.5 2.8 4.8% Current Conditions 39.4 44.3 44.2 - Dec-13 42.6 -0.1 -0.2% Future Expectations 43.2 43.6 45.2 Jul-13 - 44.0 1.6 3.7% Current Conditions 54.2 54.4 55.6 Sep-13 - 54.7 1.2 2.2% Future Expectations 54.2 51.7 56.2 May-13 - 54.0 4.5 8.7% Financial Position Interest Rates Paid Effect of Rupee Exchange Rate Supplier Delivery Times Availability of Credit Current Conditions 52.6 56.8 54.9 - Dec-13 54.8 -1.9 -3.3% Future Expectations 58.8 54.1 54.8 Dec-13 - 55.9 0.7 1.3% 2

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