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Published on March 5, 2009

Author: PickManager

Source: slideshare.net

## Description

This presentation describes how to pick a perfect bracket in the NCAA men's basketball tournament. It discusses historical statistics and ways to improve your selections.

BRACKET ADVICE: How To Pick a Perfect Bracket and Win March Bracket Pools Brought To You By PickManager.com Enter to Win \$100 Million In The Game of the Century™! Thursday, March 5, 2009

March Means Madness Every March, quot;Basketball Bracket Feverquot; sweeps the U.S. The only cure for this fever is a heavy dose of college basketball, along with a profitable run in a March bracket pool Yet picking a perfect basketball bracket can be challenging. By learning the most effective techniques, you can greatly increase your chances of being a big winner! www.PickManager.com Thursday, March 5, 2009

Picking A Perfect Bracket Picking a perfect bracket is all about math and matchups History tends to repeat itself, and PickManager.com has compiled important historical information and used proprietary algorithms to determine the assessed risk of historical perfect brackets since 1985 PickManager.com has partnered with Accuscore, the leader in sports forecasting, to analyze the 2009 matchups when they are announced and generate the ultimate cheat sheet www.PickManager.com Thursday, March 5, 2009

Historical Math One of the best charts to consider is the historical advancement of seeds. The chart below details the round by round wins for each seed. www.PickManager.com Thursday, March 5, 2009

Interesting Facts, Pt. I: A #1 seed has NEVER lost in the first round. So do not pick a number 16 seed as an upset, no matter how much you like the team. # 2 seeds have only lost four times in the first round # 9 seeds have a higher winning percentage that the #8 seeds in the first round. www.PickManager.com Thursday, March 5, 2009

Interesting Facts. Pt. II: The first round winning percentage is identical for #11 seeds and #12 seeds. Don’t focus only on the 7 vs 12 matchup that is commonly referred to by “bracketologists.” #9 seed performance falls dramatically in the second round with the lowest winning percentage of any seed that makes it to that round (5.8%). A strong number #8 is as good as a strong #6 seed for advancing deep in the tournament, while a #7 seed has never won in the 4th round. www.PickManager.com Thursday, March 5, 2009

Interesting Facts. Pt. III: #3, #4, and #5 seeds that get to the 4th round typically perform well in the 4th round. Two #11 seeds have made it to the final weekend, while no #7, #9 or #10 seed has ever made it. #1 seeds matter and boast greater than 50% winning percentages in every round. www.PickManager.com Thursday, March 5, 2009

Measuring Historical Risk PickManager.com has developed proprietary risk algorithms to measure the historical assessed risk of perfect brackets. Participants can test out various risk level scenarios in 2009 with the PickManager.com bracket generator. Risk settings and teams can be tweaked easily on the fly before submission. www.PickManager.com Thursday, March 5, 2009

Measuring Historical Risk www.PickManager.com Thursday, March 5, 2009

Measuring Historical Risk Since the tournament of 64 began in 1985, the average “Assessed Risk” for any bracket is 23.37%. Historically, the most unlikely bracket occurred in 2000 (37.14%) and the most likely bracket happened in 2007 at just 7.75%. The lower the risk, the more the tournament followed historical winning percentages from seeds. www.PickManager.com Thursday, March 5, 2009

Current Matchups While a historical perspective at seed performance and risk level is important, picking a perfect bracket or winning a March bracket pool in 2009 is based on the teams and the matchups. PickManager.com has partnered with AccuScore, the leader in sports forecasting, to develop a guide to forecast brackets and score big in office pools. The guide will be available soonafter the matchups are announced and AccuScore applies its award winning simulation technology. www.PickManager.com Thursday, March 5, 2009

Basic Strategy For Multiple Brackets To maximize the fun and profits in March, people should enter pools and contests that allow multiple bracket entries. Multiple brackets allow participants to use a variety of strategies to strive for a perfect bracket and be competitive in the contest if the perfect bracket does not hit. To get a perfect bracket, participants have to hit the right upsets. In most cases, this quest for a perfect bracket will be risky because usually a bracket that has a good shot initially at being perfect will end up not winning many bracket pools if it is not perfect. www.PickManager.com Thursday, March 5, 2009

Basic Strategy For Multiple Brackets The best strategy to have the highest probability of winning a pool with the best score is to enter lower risk brackets and focus on the early late round matchups. One strategy to consider would be to start by advancing all four top seeds to the final 8 without looking at the matchups and then use PickManager.com’s auto complete feature with or without a specific desired risk—or select teams individually from that point. www.PickManager.com Thursday, March 5, 2009

Announcing The Largest Bracket Contest In History! PickManager.com is offering the largest prize in March bracket history by allowing each person to enter up to 4 different brackets with a chance to win \$100 Million. In addition, the highest score of the contest that is not a perfect bracket will win a complete Sports Den that includes theater seating from La-Z-Boy, flat screen TV and surround sound system. Participants will enjoy the coolest features and most flexible picking interface found on the Internet. www.PickManager.com Thursday, March 5, 2009

For More Details Or To Enter: Watch our video (next slide) Visit www.PickManager.com The PickManager.com Game of the Century™ 2009 NCAA basketball brackets contest entry period runs from February 9, 2009 to 12 noon Eastern Time March 17, 2009. Contestants must be 18 years or older, with a valid driver’s license. Good luck, and enjoy the tournament! www.PickManager.com Thursday, March 5, 2009

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