Published on December 17, 2016
1. EducationEducation andand technology:technology: stories ofstories of the futurethe future 3er. Congreso Internacional de Innovació n Educativa
3. Greetings from AmericaGreetings from America
4. Choices are before usChoices are before us The US context is… chaotic, maybe dire
5. How can we grapple with the future? •Trends •Futures •Choices
6. Monthly environmental scan report Trends identified, tested, projected TrendlinesTrendlines
7. Technology trendsTechnology trends Rise of the stacks Yet hardware + networks = multiple ecosystems
8. The post- Snowden world https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Edward_Snowden
10. Screening Flowing Accessing Sharing Cognifying Filtering Remixing Interacting
11. Screening Flowing Accessing Sharing Cognifying Filtering Remixing Interacting
12. Automation on the rise
13. Automation on the rise http://www.cnet.com/news/and-heres-a-drone-with-a-chainsaw-attached/
14. Design for mobile *first *
15. New device ecosystemNew device ecosystem
17. VR + AR = MR
18. New device ecosystemNew device ecosystem Android battles iOS Disintegrated computing: Wearables Very small cameras and computers…
19. New device ecosystemNew device ecosystem Android battles iOS Disintegrated computing: Wearables Very small cameras and computers Leading to… Leading to…
22. Globalization of higher educationGlobalization of higher education International higher ed systems building up More international students heading to other nations US campuses expanding overseas presence
23. Education trendsEducation trends Reform movements Alternative certification pilots Alternative business models and schools
24. DemographicsDemographics Youth population shrinkage Expanding senior population…
28. Macroeconomic changesMacroeconomic changes
29. Labor transformations •manufacturing->service •1 job/career->many gigs •declining participation •automation
30. Student populationStudent population changeschanges Near-majority adult Increasing first- generation students Veterans Learning disabilities 12https://www.flickr.com/photos/un_photo/6708914025/
31. Adjunctification rising
32. Defunding public universitiesDefunding public universities
33. A new finance modelA new finance model
34. Teaching and learning and techTeaching and learning and tech
35. blended/ flipped / hybrid classroom
36. Teaching and learning and techTeaching and learning and tech distance learning grows generational gaps gaming in education
37. Changes in the LMS world? http://i0.wp.com/mfeldstein.com/wp- content/uploads/2014/09/walledgarden5.jpg
38. Uses of social media Uses of Web video OER The rise of the Maker movement
39. MOOCs on the moveMOOCs on the move
40. Credit for MOOCs? STEM vs humanities Sustainability? New forms Multinational
41. Technology-mediated research Simulations http://web.archive.org/web/20150418162758/http://www.futurict.eu /
42. Computational * • Computational genomics • Computational life sciences • Bioinformatics • Computational molecular science • New media practice and studies • Predictive policing • High frequency trading (finance)
43. Textual research Law: e-discovery http://criminalintent.org/
44. Textual research Digital humanities
45. The new community of scholars* *Credit to Dan Cohen for this formulation
46. What happens to the library? •Shift from collection development to digital literacy consultation •Open scholarship •Transforms to research entrepreneurship National Science Library at the Chinese Academy of
47. Which of these trends are the most powerful?
48. Which of these trends are the most unpredicatble?
49. All of these are in the present.
50. So what’s next?So what’s next?
51. Extrapolations: Transnational campuses Average student age: 40 Hourly faculty Privatizing public universities Hogwarts vs poor campuses What comes next?What comes next?
52. • Rich multimedia environment • Some gamification • Student as producer Disintegrated computing as a service Extensive data analysis, surveillance, creativity Campus of networked things
53. A higher education bubble?A higher education bubble?
54. A higher education bubble?A higher education bubble? Continued cost/quality anxiety Student and parent anxieties about debt Grad school crises Political pressure
55. The Queen sacrifice gambit
56. Yet the college premiumYet the college premium persistspersists
57. Will universities fight Trump?Will universities fight Trump? Campuses defending immigrants
58. https://www.insidehighered.com/news/2 016/12/02/outlining-commitments- undocumented-immigrant-students-some- presidents-avoid-term What do campuses do during civil unrest?
59. We’re so not sustainable Political dysfunction “ unrest Failure of the elites Resentment “ “ “ https://www.flickr.com/photos/suxsie_q/27261718274 /
60. We’re not sustainable What happens when these combine? • Environmental stresses trigger political unrest • Political unrest meets tottering leadership • Distrust and friction escalate • Repeat, reiterate: vicious cycle
61. Taking automation seriouslyTaking automation seriously
62. Curriculum and life: is school for unemployment or working with AIs? Post-AI educationPost-AI education
63. Curriculum and life: what does it mean to be human when machines exceed us? Post-AI educationPost-AI education
64. Pedagogy: • Apps instead of classes • Computer-assisted creativity • Cyborg teaching and becoming Post-AI educationPost-AI education
65. What if we take digital literacy seriously?What if we take digital literacy seriously?
66. It might be insurgent https://www.flickr.com/photos/77688862@N02/20014884218/
67. The best digital literacy storytelling https://www.youtube.com/ watch?v=W6yVCgoBn-I
68. What comes next?What comes next?
69. Choices: • Reinvest in public academics or privatize further? What comes next?What comes next?
70. Choices: • Reinvest in public academics or privatize further? • Turn away the world or embrace increasing globalism What comes next?What comes next?
71. Choices: • Reinvest in public academics or privatize further? • Turn away the world or embrace increasing globalism • Become open or erect walled gardens What comes next?What comes next?
72. Choices: • Embrace social media or retreat to silos? What comes next?What comes next?
73. Choices: • Embrace social media or retreat to silos • Rebuild authorities or encourage democratic digital literacy? What comes next?What comes next?
74. Choices: • Embrace social media or retreat to silos? • Rebuild authorities or encourage democratic digital literacy? • Prepare for automation now or be caught by surprise? What comes next?What comes next?
75. Collaborate with each other, across institutions, sectors, nations, populations, professions What can we do now?What can we do now?
76. Use social media
77. Use social media Use and be open
78. Rethink everything in terms of automation’s possibilities
79. Imagine different worlds and inhabiting them - yourselves, your institution, your children and the generation to come
80. http://bryanalexander.orghttp://bryanalexander.org http://ftte.ushttp://ftte.us http://twitter.com/bryanalexanderhttp://twitter.com/bryanalexander