Published on February 22, 2014
Energy Services - 2015 Which way to the future? Jane McAloon Director-General NSW Ministry of Energy & Utilities 22/02/14 NSW Ministry of Energy & Utilities 1
2015 Energy services to build and sustain quality of life 22/02/14 NSW Ministry of Energy & 2 Utilities
2015 - Energy Services Will be based around health, prosperity, the environment and – tradeoffs. 22/02/14 NSW Ministry of Energy & 3 Utilities
2015 - Energy Services Choices will be made by us all about the nature of energy services. 22/02/14 NSW Ministry of Energy & 4 Utilities
2015 – Energy Choices Energy Sources – what will they be and are they sustainable? Tradeoffs - what are the impacts on the environment and how are they managed? Customer loyalty & satisfaction - who supplies the services and how will they be costed? 22/02/14 NSW Ministry of Energy & 5 Utilities
Global Energy Trends Global trends which are impacting on many countries’ energy industries include: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 22/02/14 Commercialisation/privatisation Globalisation – specialisation and focus Competition and retail contestability Convergence of gas/electricity markets Energy Trading Environmental focus Regulation NSW Ministry of Energy & 6 Utilities
United States – Gas Market Trends Past Decade Next Decade Exploration & Production Rationalisation and focus Shift back to growth Transmission & Storage Consolidation & growth Integration into midstream energy networks W/sale Trading Robust trading & forward financial markets Ongoing growth in size & complexity Energy Distribution Consolidation precedes deregulation Multi-regional utilities – unbundling & outsourcing Retail Energy Large customers have choice – retail market is slow to develop – experimentation Choice linked with IT – convergence beyond energy Customer Interface Hundreds of marketers – information and choice expand IT and internet redefine relationship 22/02/14 NSW Ministry of Energy & 7 Utilities
United Kingdom Retail is the area where competition is having the greatest impact Utilities Act was passed in 2000 which provided a new regulatory framework for bringing gas & electricity markets in line To ensure customer service, consumer protection has become primary focus of energy policy & regulation 22/02/14 NSW Ministry of Energy & 8 Utilities
2015 – Australian energy production by fuel PRODUCTION 1997/8 (PJ/%) Source – ANZMEC Energy Trends 2001 2014/15 (PJ/%) Black Coal 5885 (48%) 8066 (43%) Natural Gas 1272 (11%) 3038 (16%) Uranium 2724 (22%) 5640 (30%) Renewables 284 319 (1.7%) 22/02/14 (2%) NSW Ministry of Energy & 9 Utilities
2015 – Australian energy consumption by fuel CONSUMPTION Source – ANZMEC Energy Trends, 2001 1997/98 (PJ/%) 2014/15 (PJ/%) Black and Brown Coal 2000 (42%) 1970 (33%) Crude Oil 1640 (34%) 2040 (34%) Natural Gas 861 (18%) 1760 (29%) Renewables 284 (6%) 319 (5%) 22/02/14 NSW Ministry of Energy & 10 Utilities
Challenges – NSW Gas 1. Changing energy market dynamics after 1/1/02 2. 3. 4. particularly with new entrants Appropriate regulatory framework which supports dynamic national energy markets – globalisation Meeting and managing customer expectations – convergence in energy services – reasonably priced with reliable service - policy objectives are clear & transparent New market opportunities – emissions trading & environmental concerns – focus on gas 22/02/14 NSW Ministry of Energy & 11 Utilities
Conclusion Keep an eye to the future today. 22/02/14 NSW Ministry of Energy & 12 Utilities
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