Published on August 7, 2009
Crystal Ball Gazing Sukumar Rajagopal, Senior Vice President & Head of Innovation ICT East 2009 : Thinking Strategy Aug 5, 2009 MC Escher Crystal Ball Image source - forum.zgeek.com
Top 10 Strategic Technologies 2009 Virtualization Cloud Computing Beyond Blade Servers Green IT Web-Oriented Architectures Enterprise Mashups Specialized Systems Social Software and Social Networking Unified Communications Business Intelligence © 2006, Cognizant Technology Solutions. Confidential Source : Gartner Group We will not be talking about these today!
Beyond Blade Servers
Social Software and Social Networking
the thing about predictions... Source : http://www.slideshare.net/matthewbuckland/future-web-trends But before we start
"Computers in the future may weigh no more than 1.5 tons.“ Popular Mechanics, forecasting the relentless march of science, 1949 "I think there is a world market for maybe five computers." Thomas Watson, Chairman of IBM, 1943 "There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home." Ken Olson, President, Chairman & Founder, Digital Equipment Corp., 1977 Source: http://www.slideshare.net/matthewbuckland/future-web-trends
© 2006, Cognizant Technology Solutions. Confidential Image Source: http://www.wikimedia.org Bold Prediction - By 2015 Kirana Store will be your Bank Industries Impacted - Banking, Telecom, IT & Government
First, a History Lesson from Electricity © 2006, Cognizant Technology Solutions. Confidential 1879 1920s Source: http://www.slate.com/id/2167909 /
© 2006, Cognizant Technology Solutions. Confidential Will This Scale ? Or this? Stats Source: http://business.outlookindia.com/newolb/article.aspx?101647 When 66% Indians, 135 MM households are Unbanked Bank Img Source: http://www.cbonline.co.uk/wcm-media/cb_media_branch3.jpg
Cash is King - Tappawala © 2006, Cognizant Technology Solutions. Confidential Source: http://www.hindu.com/2009/07/18/stories/2009071853850900.htm Ganjam’s migrant labourers remit Rs. 500 Crores a year back to their villages (of this 400 Crores comes from Surat alone) Tappawalas charge 3-4% to transfer the money back to home. This could be a Rs. 5000-20,000 crore ($1-4B market). Image Source: http://www.wikimedia.org
Cash is King - The Prepaid Stranglehold © 2006, Cognizant Technology Solutions. Confidential Conservatively estimating 50% of prepaid is cash – Rs. 5,900 Crores cash just in the GSM segment every month Source: http://www.trai.gov.in/WriteReadData/trai/upload/Reports/47/ReportQEMar09.pdf
Vouchers a la Cash © 2006, Cognizant Technology Solutions. Confidential Buy from any kirana store No id required Scratch the PIN and SMS it Done – no monthly paper bills, contracts Quadplay – Banks, Telecom, IT, Government (regulatory support)
Buy from any kirana store
No id required
Scratch the PIN and SMS it
Done – no monthly paper bills, contracts
Mega Opportunity - Where are the technology platforms? © 2006, Cognizant Technology Solutions. Confidential Source: Technology as a force multiplier by Sukumar Rajagopal http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/Opinion/Technology-as-a-force-multiplier/articleshow/3349323.cms
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