Published on February 18, 2014
Weekly Chart Book February 17, 2014 Global Clients…Global Portfolios disclosure: The opinions expressed in this Weekly Chart Book report are those of the author. The materials and commentary are strictly informational and should be used for research use only. This bulletin is not intended to provide investing or other advice or guidance with respect to the matters addressed in the bulletin. All relevant facts, including individual circumstances, need to be considered by the reader to arrive at investment conclusions that comply with matters addressed in this bulletin. Charts and information used in this report are sourced from Bloomberg.
Developed Markets 4
Emerging Markets 5
US Financial Conditions vs. 52 weeks & 2000-2007 Period 6
1 Year Default Probability – Developed Markets 7
1 Year Default Probability – Emerging Markets 8
Developed Market – CDS 9
Emerging Market – CDS 10
The VIX Index (S&P 500 Implied Volatility) 11
Global Financial Stress Index 12
Citi Macro Risk Index 13
Margin Debt & S&P 500 14
Fixed Income & Credit
US Yield Curve (Current vs. 1 Month & 12 Months Ago) 16
UST Curve vs. US Investment Grade Curve 17
U.S. Treasury 30 Year Yield 18
U.S. Treasury 10 Year Yield 19
Fed’s 5 Year Forward Breakeven (Inflation Expectations) 20
Investment Grade Bond Prices 21
Investment Grade Credit Spread (BBB – 10 Yr. UST Yield) 22
High Yield Bond Prices 23
High Yield Credit Spreads (HY – 10 Yr. UST Yield) 24
Emerging Market Debt (USD Denominated) 25
Emerging Market Bond Spreads 26
World Equity Indices 28
Earnings Scorecard 29
MSCI All Country World Index 30
S&P 500 Index 31
MSCI EAFE (Europe, Australia, Far East) Index 32
MSCI Emerging Markets Index 33
Equity Risk Premiums by Country 34
Last week’s Economic Calendar 36
Next week’s Economic Calendar 37
Economic Surprise Monitor (Deviations from Expectations) 38
Currencies & Commodities
World Currencies vs. U.S. Dollar (6 Month Spot Returns) 40
World Currencies vs. U.S. Dollar (Spot Forecast: Q1 2014) 41
Emerging Mrkt. Currency Implied Volatility – Time Series 42
US Dollar Index 43
Euro € 44
Japanese Yen ¥ 45
Mexican Peso 46
Turkish Lira 47
Russian Ruble 48
Indian Rupee 49
Global Commodity Prices 50
Continuous Commodity Index – 5 Years 51
Gold Prices – 5 Years 52
Crude Oil Prices – 5 Years 53
Copper Prices – 5 Years 54
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