A Better World is Possible. Global Future Day. Pearson College, Metchosin, Victoria, BC.

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Published on February 20, 2014

Author: GuyDauncey

Source: slideshare.net

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What future is probable? What future is possible? What knowledge and skills do we need to make our finest contribution to the future? Keynote presentation at Pearson College's Global Future Day, Feb 20, 2014.

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2007 www.earthfuture.com

We have come an incredible long way from this…. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com to this….

To this…. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

To this … Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

but… Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

We have also come to this… Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com ©Smithore Dreamstime.com

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

If everyone lived the way wealthy people do, we'd need many more planets to provide the resources. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

GDP = ‘Gross Domestic Product’ Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

GDP = Gross Depletion of the Planet Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Gross Depletion of the Planet Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Gross Depletion of the Planet Why? Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com To make shark fin soup

Gross Depletion of the Planet Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Why? Gross Depletion of the Planet To raise cattle, to make hamburgers Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Gross Depletion of the Planet Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Why? To make Palm Oil, to make Pizza Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2007 www.earthfuture.com

CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 100 million tonnes a day = 4 million tonnes an hour = 67,000 tonnes a minute As we burn the fossil fuels… = 1,000 tonnes a second Guy Dauncey 2013 2007 www.earthfuture.com

And this… Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

And this… And this… Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

And this…

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Crisis limate C Oceans Cri si Financial Crisis u n g er H Po v e Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com rt y W a nd ar s nce i ol e V xtinction Species E sness meles Ho

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

What is the probable future of our world?

What is the probable future of our world? A LOT OF REALLY BAD THINGS

What is the possible future of our world?

What is the possible future of our world? A LOT OF REALLY GOOD THINGS

What makes the difference?

What makes the difference? YOU DO

What makes the difference? YOU DO I DO

What makes the difference? YOU DO I DO WE DO

When you think about the future of our world, what do you feel? Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Excitement Hope Worry Despair Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Are you conscious? Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Do you have free will to choose your future? Or is everything predetermined? Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Is there purpose and direction in the Universe? Or is it just all just random? Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

What story do you use to make sense of it all? Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

A: There is Spiritual purpose in our life Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

B: Who knows? But it’s amazing Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

C: Nature is good, Humans are bad Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

D: Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

What story do you use to make sense of it all? A: Spiritual purpose B: Who knows? But it’s amazing D: C: Nature good, humans bad Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Humans are motivated by dreams of life and wholeness, not by nightmares of death and collapse. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

We Have The Freedom to Choose… Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Which path will you take? Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

A QUICK HISTORY LESSON Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Go back 100 years, to the time of your great grandparents Facebook, Twitter, YouTube, Mobile phones, Internet, credit cards, space travel, computers, TV, recorded music airplanes, antibiotics, relativity theory, women voting… ALL GONE

Go back 500 years, 20 generations ago Radio, telephones, light bulbs, the periodic table, electricity, railways, Darwin’s evolutionary theory, democracy, freedom from child labour, the industrial age, freedom from slavery, the idea of tolerance and equality, telescopes, muskets, microscopes, the idea of science - ALL GONE

Go back 5,000 years, 200 generations ago The printing press, algebra, geometry, maths, numbers, ancient Greece, philosophy, paper, the alphabet, literature, writing… ALL GONE

Go back 50,000 years, 2,000 generations ago Agriculture, cities, towns, metal working, pottery, boats, constructed shelter, musical instruments… ALL GONE

These are our ancestors. It was their quest for knowledge that led the way to the Neolithic Age

Their Neolithic quest led the way …

To Babylonian thought, which led the way… Wikimedia

To Egyptian thought, which led the way…

To Greek science and philosophy, which led the way… Wikimedia

To Islamic science and philosophy, which led the way …

To the Renaissance, which led the way… Wikimedia

To the Scientific Revolution, which led the way…

To the Industrial Age, which led the way…

To more Industrial Age, which led the way…

To today’s world …

And to this. ©Smithore Dreamstime.com

The Journey of Civilization has seven threads, in which we learn: 1. 1. 1. 1. 2. 3. 4. How to communicate How to relate to Spirit How to think scientifically How to create technologies How to make social progress How to live in harmony with Nature How to end war

1: We learn how to communicate… Speech Radio TV Writing Telephone Satellite Alphabet Manuscripts Books Printing Internet

2: We learn how to relate to Spirit …

3: We learn how to think scientifically… Copernicus Islamic scientists Aristotle Galileo Stephen Hawking

4: We learn how to create technologies …

5: We learn how to make social progress … 18th Century Campaign to Abolish Slavery Wikimedia

6: We learn how to live in harmony with Nature

7: We learn how to end violence and war

19th Century: Struggles to build Democracy Wikimedia

19th Century – Struggles for Workers’ Rights Wikimedia

19th Century Campaigns to End Child Labour Wikimedia

19th Century Women’s Suffrage Movement, to win the vote for women Wikimedia

20th Century: Struggle against Nazism Wikimedia

20th Century: The Struggles for Independence and the Power of Non-Violence Wikimedia

20th Century Civil Rights Movement Wikimedia

South Africa’s Struggle to End Apartheid

21st Century Struggle for Harmony with Nature ©Dreamstime.com

21st Century Continuing Struggle for Women’s Rights

21st Century Continuing Struggle for Democracy

21st Century: Continuing Struggle for Economic Justice

Crisis limate C Oceans Cri si Financial Crisis u n g er H Po v e Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com rt y W a nd ar s nce i ol e V xtinction Species E sness meles Ho

Climate Crisis Financial Crisis Hunger Climate Activism New Economy Activism Food and Farming Activism Poverty War and Violence New Economy Activism Peace Activism Species Extinction Nature Activism Oceans Crisis Marine Activism Homelessness Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Housing Activism

Artists and Poets Engineers and Planners Farmers and Chefs Economists and Bankers Teachers and Youth Workers Foresters and Biologists Business People and Investors Scientists Doctors and Nurses Social Workers and Change-Agents Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

The power of our vision must be stronger than the power of our fears

Guy Dauncey 2007 www.earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2007 www.earthfuture.com

CLIMATE ACTION N W NOT BY 2015 … NOT BY 2020 … BUT NOW

Metamorphosis… Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

If you are searching for the ONE PERSON who can change your life take a look in a mirror Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

William Kamkwamba built a windmill in his tiny rural farming village in Malawi when he was 14 years old. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

18-year-old Boyan Slat from Holland Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

18-year-old Boyan Slat from Holland THE SOLUTION Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Istanbul, Turkey

Guy Dauncey 2013 Guy Dauncey 2007 www.earthfuture.c www.earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2007 www.earthfuture.com

Freiburg, Germany

Crescent Park, Richmond, California Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Taiwan Solar Stadium Guy Dauncey 2007 www.earthfuture.com

Kagoshima Nanatsujima 70 MW Solar Power Plant, Japan Kyocera, 79,000 MWh a year Guy Dauncey 2007 www.earthfuture.com

New solar bridge across the River Thames, London Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Siemens AG

Guy Dauncey 2007 www.earthfuture.com

Streets being re-imagined and redesigned Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com www.cityrepair.org

www.cityrepair.org Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Musee du Quai Branly, Paris Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Patrick Blanc, Le Mur Vegetal

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com The Gherkin, London

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Vincent Callebaut Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Vincent Callebaut: Asian Cairns, Sustainable Megaliths for Guy Dauncey 2013 Guy Dauncey 2007 Rural Urbanity, Shenzhen, China, 2013 www.earthfuture.c www.earthfuture.com

Solar Thermal District Heat Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Drake Landing, Okotoks, Alberta.

800 solar hot water panels on the garages 90% of residential space heating needs met by solar thermal energy (40-50o C) Reduction - 5 tonnes of greenhouse gas emissions per home per year. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Solar Thermal Heating 12 months a year The Energy Centre Solar hot water panels Guy Dauncey 2013 2007 www.earthfuture.com Community solar heat panels

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Sorce: Solvis Solar Thermal Housing, Rostock, Germany Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

In Sweden, Stockholm sends heat from treated sewage effluent to 80,000 apartments Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Proyecto Urbano Integral, Medellin, Colombia Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Pedestrian Plaza In Buenos Aires, Argentina Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Cheonggyecheon, Seoul, South Korea Before and After Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Cheonggyecheon, Seoul, South Korea Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com The Highline Converted Railway, New York

Brooklyn Bridge Remix/Redux Terreform and Michael Sorkin Studio Guy Dauncey 2007 www.earthfuture.com

London: a Garden Bridge across the Thames Thomas Heatherwick Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Proposed green covered highway In Hamburg, Germany Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Rua Gonçalo de Carvalho, Porto Allegro, Brazil Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Local Food Economies flourishing www.solefoodfarms.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Community gardens everywhere Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Many people growing their own food Guy Dauncey 2007 www.earthfuture.com

Many people growing their own food Guy Dauncey 2007 www.earthfuture.com

Boulevards filled with vegetables Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2007 www.earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2013 Guy Dauncey 2007 www.earthfuture.c www.earthfuture.com

Local Farmers Markets

Schools Growing Their Own Food Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Concrete school yards being transformed Guy Dauncey 2011 www.earthfuture.com

Suburban streets being calmed and claimed Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Fast, dangerous streets being slowed Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com www.restreets.org

Fast, boring streets being slowed and humanized www.restreets.org Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Streets Holding Annual Block Parties Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

There’s lots of community art Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Lost Creeks are being restored Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Still Creek, Vancouver. Chum Salmon restored after 80 years Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Semiahmoo Transit Station, Surrey www.greenovergrey.com

Downtown streets are being calmed and claimed Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com www.restreets.org

Many more people enjoying walking

Many more people cycling

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

All bike lanes are safe separated bike lanes

Electric Bicycles Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Many people using Transit

100% Electric Buses

On-Line Electric Bus

Many creative bus shelters

Vehicle owners earning up to $300 a month through peer-to-peer carsharing

Affordable small electric vehicles: Renault Twizy $9,700 + $60/month battery lease

Honda solar electric car charging Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Electric car fast charging Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

www.cargohopper.com Cargohopper 3 tonnes max 60 km range 20 kph top speed Urban deliveries Holland

No more air pollution

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Moving from a CAPITALIST to a COOPERATIVE Economy Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Close down the offshore tax havens Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Establish Public Banks Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

A Financial Transactions Tax Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Turn businesses into Benefit Corporations Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

More Women Directors on the Board “Companies with more Women Board Directors experience higher financial performance, according to latest Catalyst Bottom Line Report.” Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Green Business Certification Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Basic Income for all A Basic Income is an income unconditionally guaranteed to all on an individual basis, without means test or work requirement. Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Neighbours participating in the sharing economy www.streetbank.com

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com www.collaborativeconsumption.com

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com Neighbourhood Tool-Sharing

Youth Enterprise Initiatives Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Micro-Lending Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Student Debt problems solved in Oregon Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

The Oregon Solution: Pay It Forward Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

What Skills Do You Need? Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

What Skills Do You Need? 1. Passion Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

What Skills Do You Need? 1. Passion 2. Commitment Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

What Skills Do You Need? 1. Passion 2. Commitment 3. Research: always thinking, learning and asking questions Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

What Skills Do You Need? 1. Passion 2. Commitment 3. Research: always thinking, learning and asking questions 4. Hard work, learning from mistakes Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

What Skills Do You Need? 1. Passion 2. Commitment 3. Research: always thinking, learning and asking questions 4. Hard work, learning from mistakes 5. Team work Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

What Skills Do You Need? 1. Passion 2. Commitment 3. Research: always thinking, learning and asking questions 4. Hard work, learning from mistakes 5. Team work 6. Persistence in the face of difficulty Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

What Skills Do You Need? 1. Passion 2. Commitment 3. Research: always thinking, learning and asking questions 4. Hard work, learning from mistakes 5. Team work 6. Persistence in the face of difficulty 7. Faith Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

www.slideshare.net/GuyDauncey Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Metamorphosis… Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2007 www.earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2007 www.earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2007 www.earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2007 www.earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2007 www.earthfuture.com

Dream it Wish it Do it Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

Guy Dauncey www.earthfuture.com Guy Dauncey 2013 www.earthfuture.com

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