9 Wheat

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Information about 9 Wheat
News-Reports

Published on October 4, 2007

Author: Charlo

Source: authorstream.com

Slide1:  Wheat Slide2:  Kim’s web site for wheat market information agecon.okstate.edu/anderson Slide3:  The price of wheat on June 20, 2008 KWN7 $5.40 HRW basis -$0.40 Are there any questions? $5.00 Slide4:  Talking Points Price & weather Argentina & Australia Wheat Stocks Plantings  ’08 production Use – domestic, exports & world Price Slide5:  Talking Points Price & weather Slide6:  KCBT nearby price 1.8 .429 1.9 .491 Slide7:  KCBT Dec price Slide10:  Talking Points Price & weather Argentina & Australia Argentina & Australia:  Argentina & Australia Million Bushels 2006/07 2007/08 5-yr avg. Argentina 559 514 532 Australia 367 845 692 Slide12:  Talking Points Price & weather Argentina & Australia Wheat Stocks Slide13:  Ending Stocks U.S. World 5-year average 2006/07 520 456 5,320 4,589 Million Bushels 2007/08 404 4,217 Slide14:  Talking Points Price Wheat stocks Argentina & Australia Plantings & ’08 production Corn:  Corn Soybeans :  Soybeans Slide17:  HRW wheat production area Corn:  Corn Slide19:  SRW wheat production area Soybeans :  Soybeans Other Spring Wheat excl. Durham:  Other Spring Wheat excl. Durham Durham :  Durham White Winter Wheat:  White Winter Wheat KCBT July ‘08:  KCBT July ‘08 $5.79 -0.40 $5.19 Slide25:  Seedings Class 5-year avg. ‘07 Std. Guess HRW 30.8 32.4 1.5 32.2 SRW 7.8 8.8 1.2 7.8 million acres Other Spr 14.1 13.9 1.5 13.5 Winter 42.9 44.5 2.4 44.3 Total 59.3 60.8 3.8 60.5 Slide26:  Yield Class 5-year avg. ‘07 Std. HRW 36.9 31.4 4.3 SRW 55.5 62.2 4.1 Other Spr 38.5 39.3 4.1 Winter 43.5 41.3 2.6 43.5 Total 41.8 40.7 2.6 41.8 bushel/acre Guess 43.9 41.2 Slide27:  Class 5-year avg. ‘07 Std. Guess million bushels Production HRW 897 948 178 827 SRW 364 360 55 354 Other Spr. 491 500 47 492 Durham 83.6 77 17 84 White 278 230 34 283 Total 2,106 2,114 258 2,150 2,005 2.35 2.16 2.12 1.80 Slide28:  Production 5-year avg. ‘07 Std. Guess million bushels World 21,720 22,428 840 22,700 21.7 22.9 21.9 U.S. 2,106 2,114 258 2,200 2,005 Slide29:  Talking Points Price Wheat stocks Argentina & Australia Plantings Use – domestic & export Slide30:  U.S. use 5-year average ‘07 Std. Guess 1,000 1050 80 Use Export Domestic 1,153 1,126 84 Total Use 2,152 2,276 134 1,165 2,173 million mushels 1,000 1,150 2,150 Slide31:  World use 5-year average ‘07 Std. Guess million bushels 22,500 22,359 22,776 565 22,113 Slide32:  Talking Points Price Wheat Stocks Argentina & Australia Plantings Use – Domestic & Exports Price U.S. Wheat Supply and Use:  U.S. Wheat Supply and Use Beginning stocks Production Supply, Total Exports Use, Total Ending Stocks Avg. farm price 460 2,115 2,635 1,075 2,265 410 $5.40 571 1,812 2,505 909 2,080 456 $4.26 million bushels USDA 07/08 USDA 06/07 1.19 bb U.S. Wheat Supply and Use:  U.S. Wheat Supply and Use Beginning stocks Production Supply, Total Exports Use, Total Ending Stocks Avg. farm price 410 2,150 2,660 1,025 2,150 485 million bushels Kim’s 08/09 460 2,115 2,635 1,075 2,265 410 $5.40 USDA 07/08 World Wheat Supply and Use:  World Wheat Supply and Use Beginning stocks Production Supply, Total Use, Total Ending Stocks 4.22 22.50 26.72 22.50 4.22 million bushels Kim’s 08/09 4.59 22.43 27.02 22.80 4.22 USDA 07/08 Slide36:  U.S. ending stocks & price 0.540 $3.40 $4.30 0.440 Av ES 0.63 Av Price $3.32 Slide37:  U.S. ending stocks & price 0.540 $3.40 $4.30 0.440 Av ES 0.63 Av $ $3.32 $4.26 0.456 Slide38:  0.540 $3.40 $4.30 0.440 Av ES 0.63 Av $ $3.32 $5.40 0.408 U.S. ending stocks & price Slide39:  KCBT July ‘07 Freeze Rain $4.70 -.40 $4.30 U.S. Wheat Supply and Use:  U.S. Wheat Supply and Use Beginning stocks Production Supply, Total Exports Use, Total Ending Stocks Avg. farm price 410 2,150 2,660 1,025 2,150 485 $4.50 million bushels Kim’s 08/09 460 2,115 2,635 1,075 2,265 410 $5.40 USDA 07/08 Slide41:  U.S. and world wheat stocks remain tight 520 m.b. ending stocks  $4.30 430 m.b. ending stocks  $5.00 Going into harvest, prices will be relatively high Foreign crop determine ’07/08 mkting yr trend Ethanol production changing market Important points

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