Published on June 1, 2019
1. Slide Set 7 The Development of a Unified Theory of the Philosophical and Social Sciences The Three Fundamental Elements of to meet the criteria of E. O. Wilson’s “Consilience” and “Complexity” concepts, and the need to coordinate the methodological social sciences first George McMillan III 23 February 2019 unifiedtheoryofthesocialsciences.com
2. Abstract • The slide set explains why the three fundamental elements of the constructive vs destructive behavioral dichotomy premise, Aristotle’s Six Forms of Government, and the per capita GNP ratio signifying economic growth/population growth proportions are the three essential frameworks of the ICM+IEM=FCGPFM system, and meet E. O. Wilson’s criteria of “consilience” and complexity theory. • This slide set concludes by explaining that the more one understands how the economic growth/population growth proportions vary directly with Aristotle’s Proper and Perverted Form Dichotomy, and his low-to-high consensus continuum, which varies directly with the First, Second, Third and Fourth World category system based on the tight vs catastrophically loose wage labor continuum, the more one understands that the per capita GNP ratio links the major macro behavioral frameworks. The significance is that the per capita GNP ratio represents the simple ratio that is capable of schematizing the primary areas of politics, economics and geopolitics, meaning that all the major macro theories should be reduced to one laterally integrate schema. • It is this schema that a true interdisciplinary program should be based up to supersede the faux interdisciplinary programs of the current autarkic Standard Social Scientific model, which produces incoherent isolated arguments that (a) are not predictive based on the two persistent trend of technology and population growth, and (b) do not explain first, second and third order effects in Pareto-style models of equilibrium and optimality.
3. The research design in pictures: the Hume-Smith-V Smith/Malthusian system http://www.divergingmarkets.com/2013/05/24/chart-of-the-day-world-population-growth-vs-history-of-technology/
4. The research design in pictures: principle writings of Hume and Smith in the foundational, political and economic order 1738 17511748 1758 1759 17761763 1762 https://blog.johnrchildress.com/2016/04/23/adam-smith- and-corporate-culture/ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HS52H_CqZLE
5. The research design in pictures: writings of Karl Marx and Friedrich Engels in the foundational, political, economic order https://www.azquotes.com/author/4506- Friedrich_Engels https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fSQgCy_iIcc 18451884 1856 (P 1932) 18761883 1880 1848 186718591849
6. The research design in pictures: aligning foundational, political and economic theories since the Enlightenment Era (Nietzsche has 2 columns of foundational)
7. Part One The Abandonment of the Scientific Project in the Human Studies Part One discusses why (a) the per capita GNP ratio is the most versatile mathematical framework in the philosophical and social sciences, (b) Aristotle’s Six Forms of Government is the most comprehensive and versatile explanatory behavioral framework in the philosophical and social sciences, whereby (c) the two macro frameworks can be integrated with the constructive vs destructive behavioral dynamic working premise as the unifying principle of a unified theory. It is these three central components that represent the fundamental elements of developing a true interdisciplinary program to achieve E. O. Wilson’s “consilience” concept and advance the use of the scientific method of reasoning in the human studies. In keeping things simple, it is the pairing of Aristotle’s elite vs elite behavioral theory with the per capita GNP ratio, via the constructive vs destructive behavioral dynamic principle, that makes is possible to overcome the list of longstanding academic objectives discussed by Harsanyi (1960), Strauss and Cropsey (1987), Bloom (1988), Barkow, Tooby and Cosmides et. al. (1992), E. O. Wilson (1998) and Gintis (2006), mentioned from Slide Set 1.0. This slide set will focus on the use of the three fundamental elements in unifying the social sciences that already use Cartesian modeling standards.
8. The lack of scientific procedures in the soft philosophical and social sciences • The problem of the lack of consilience, • i.e. the lack of unity of knowledge in the social sciences discussed by E. O. Wilson 1998, or • the lack of a seamless set of interdisciplinary theories discussed by Tooby and Cosmides 1992, • or that lack of a unifying set of principles and frameworks discussed by Gintis 2006 and 2009 is due to: • (a) the lack of scientific procedures in the philosophical and social sciences and • (b) the lack of a coordinating interdisciplinary process as the scientific method is as much about organizing the people at various areas of investigation as it is about organizing the research findings themselves into a logically coherent schema. • Sidebar chart • Chardin http://paxonbothhouses.blogspot.com/2014/09/eo-wilsons-unexpected-advice-for-future.html
9. The lack of scientific procedures in the soft philosophical and social sciences • It is the recognition that a chaotic organization leads to chaotic theories where one realizes that… • the scientific method represents the process of providing the research standards, • that establishes the common interaction objectives and protocols, • has the effect of organizing the people to organize the research material • according to their areas of interest and expertise across the social scientific landscape. • E. O. Wilson ,Consilience (1998), page 111-12. • “The first step in the approach to consilience is to recognize that while the social sciences are truly science, when pursued descriptively and analytically, social theory is not yet true theory. The social sciences possess the same general traits as the natural sciences in the early, natural-history or mostly descriptive period of their historical development. From a rich data base they have ordered and classified social phenomena. They have discovered unsuspected patterns of communal behavior and successfully traced interactions of history and cultural evolution. But they have not yet crafted a web of causal explanation that successfully cuts down through the levels of organization from society to mind and brain. Failing to probe this far, they lack what can be called a true scientific theory. Consequently, even though they often speak of "theory" and, moreover, address the same species and the same level of organization, they remain disunited.“
10. The lack of scientific procedures in the soft philosophical and social sciences • Slide set 1.0 defined the entire Social Scientific landscape by using the three areas of foundational, political and economic philosophy of the past, • and paralleling these three primary areas with a series of post Watson and Crick biological, Post Darwinian sociobiological, evolutionary instinctual drive theories, • that relate to post Freudian psychological theories, • that should be explanatory of political, sociological, economic, demographic, and geopolitical outcomes. • By expressing this in terms of • empirical frameworks that contain explanatory theories that lead to empirical measures, • the system represents a micro and macro behavioral theory, that operationalizes Plato’s concept of Forms in contemporary terms.
11. The lack of scientific procedures in the soft philosophical and social sciences • It is the recognition that… • the scientific method represents the process of providing the research standards that organize the people to organize the research material, • that Allan Bloom’s The Closing of the American Mind observation that the antiscientific advocates of critical theory and post modernism, • gravitated toward the soft philosophical and social sciences that had not yet adopted “objective measures and standards” • and began railing against the disciplines that did, e.g. economics, especially comparative ideological systems, • and advanced the (1) tabla rasa premise, (2) the in equality of outcome in Capitalist systems, and the (3) class struggle revolutionary premises of Marxism, • and sticks steadfastly to the autarkic chaotic Standard Social Scientific Model • which has the effect of obfuscating the three fundamental errors of Marxism introduced in Part Three of Slide Set 1.0, and reiterated above. • Sidebar chart • Science Buddies https://www.sciencebuddies.org/science-fair-projects/science-fair/steps-of-the-scientific-method
12. The lack of scientific procedures in the soft philosophical and social sciences • Over the past several decades… • the Marxian based critical theory and post modernist movements, • have been pitting themselves against the more scientific disciplines of • sociobiology that advancing the hardwired domain specific premise in opposition to the tabla rasa domain general infinitely malleable premise, • and neoclassical economic theorists who advance the bourgeois system based on property rights and a noncentrally controlled ecological system, • which are coordinated by Baconian, Cartesian and Bayesian principles that related the scientific method, to casual theory and various forms of mathematical measurement systems.
13. The basis for a true interdisciplinary program • In extending the conclusion from the last slide, • the philosophical and social sciences across the landscape of knowledge, • should have drawn similar conclusions concerning • the effect of human ideologies and systems upon human behavior from the Great Ideological experiments, • But they did not. • The reality is that the scientifically oriented disciplines did draw conclusions that Marxist systems were economically dysfunctional and were extremely sadistic politically, while the soft social sciences make external excuses for the failure of Marxist systems, even Venezuela now. • Sidebar charts:
14. The basis for a true interdisciplinary program • The analysis of the outcome of the Great Ideological experiments, • in conjunction with the use of the scientific method of causal deduction, explanatory theory and measurement, • should lead one to is that a true interdisciplinary program should be based on • (a) the Baconian scientific method, • (b) Cartesian style dual independent variable systems, • (c) Pareto-style systems of equilibriums and optimums that reflect trade-offs and opportunity costs, • (d) based on the hardwired domain specific premise of male and female forms of competition for resources and mates, • (e) the ecological premise of V. Smith. • Sidebar charts:
15. The lack of scientific procedures in the soft philosophical and social sciences • The soft philosophical and social sciences… • use no scientific procedures which leads to one type of problem concerning the lack of consilience, • while the isolated economic theorists use scientific models, • but wish to branch out and expand their models • to better understand how their models interact with the models from the neighboring disciplines, • Is based on the idea of having a better explanation and prediction of second and third order effects of policy upon human behavior.
16. The lack of scientific procedures in the soft philosophical and social sciences • The desire of the discipline of economics • to expand their models to integrate with the knowledge from neighboring disciplines • is the motivation behind the growing interest in the interdisciplinary economic sciences • and the behavioral economics movements, • that has steadily gained interest since Harsanyi’s 1960 article discussing the need an “integrated explanatory theory (IET), or “core model” of the social sciences.
17. The lack of scientific procedures in the soft philosophical and social sciences • It was Harsanyi’s papers… • that was the inspiration of transforming the Hume-Smith vs Marx-Engels the philosophical research design that was inspired by the Strauss-Cropsey text explained in Part Two of Slide Set 1.0, • into a more of a Cartesian style system of psychological, political and economic frameworks was motivated by meeting the additional criteria of Harsanyi… • where the system of psychological, political and economic theories evolved into the Integrated Explanatory Model and FCGPFM micro-macro system • to work in conjunction with the existing ICM evolutionary theory of Tooby and Cosmides, • which is a very widely used instinctual drive platform in the interdisciplinary and behavioral economics movements.
18. The need for a unified theoretical framework • This series of slide sets and papers focuses on… • both the original problem of formulating a unifying set of principles to serve as the basis for generating a unified theory of the philosophical and social sciences, • which became the ICM+IEM=FCGPFM systems as discussed in slide sets 1.0 and 2.0, • which organizes the interdisciplinary research material into three major components, • (1) the instinctual drive platform (the ICM), linked to the environmental components of human in competition for resources and mates in terms of • (2) the IEM of psychological, political and economic disciplines as they correspond to • (3) the Four Category Geopolitical Form Model. • Sidebar charts • Velikovsky https://storyality.wordpress.com/2013/08/23/storyality-71-consilience-is-coming-read-all- about-it/
19. The need for a unified theoretical framework • In this context, the purpose of developing the ‘triple trifecta project’ • introduced in Part Three of Slide Set 1.0. • is to remedy the problem of coordinating human expertise and effort to remedy the second problem, • i.e. competitive people working in strategic interaction need a clearly defined game with clearly defined objectives that are measurable to determine bad and good, better and best. • Sidebar charts • Velikovsky https://storyality.wordpress.com/2013/08/23/storyality-71-consilience-is- coming-read-all-about-it/
20. Tiger’s Men in Groups, and hardwired male forms of competition • In keeping with Tiger’s Men in Groups (1969), • men are hardwired to keep score, • or they don’t bother to play— • It is no coincidence that • the more the soft philosophical and social sciences have departed from the Baconian and Cartesian scientific project, • the more men have been leaving the soft philosophical and social sciences in droves, • and gravitated to the disciplines that are more mathematically objective.
21. Tiger’s Men in Groups, and hardwired male forms of competition • From this trend over the past several decades, • it appears that the Baconian method, • the Cartesian style of modeling and measurement, • and Bayesian statistical evidence standards, • Have combined to serve as the game definition protocols • and the measurement of bad and good, better and best where success and victory can be understood as a way to keep score, • in a life motivated by the pursuit of resources and mates achieved by competing for economic gain and social status.
22. The per capita GNP ratio as the mathematical crossroads of the human studies • Placing Tiger’s concepts in terms of • the vertical integration of disciplines • as described in the chart to the right explaining ‘consilience’, • the integration of mathematics used to judge bad and good, better and best, and success-failure, or stability-instability, • is derived from the use of the per capita GNP ratio in economics that has a very wide range of interdisciplinary applicability. • Sidebar charts • Velikovsky https://storyality.wordpress.com/2013/08/23/storyality-71-consilience-is-coming- read-all-about-it/
23. The per capita GNP ratio as the mathematical crossroads of the human studies • The value of the per capita GNP ratio simplification is… • (a) the numerator elements of Consumer spending + Investment + Government spending (C+I+G/n-people) represents the portal into any area of macroeconomic theory, • (b) the ratio signifies the relationship of economic growth elements and determinants / n-people population growth rates of change, • (c) it represents supply/demand, which can be viewed as… • (d) supply/ n-people in a polity, • (e) which represents the relationship of the Hume-Smith-V. Smith/Malthus-Fogel philosophical system to contemporary political and economic social scientific theories, therefore… • (f) it relates the philosophy of the past with hard data social scientific theories of the present. • Sidebar charts • Velikovsky https://storyality.wordpress.com/2013/08/23/storyality-71-consilience-is-coming-read-all-about-it/
24. The per capita GNP ratio as the mathematical crossroads of the human studies • In this sense the per capita GNP ratio, • which was designed to be the one of the most basic relationships of macroeconomic theory, • has a host of collateral uses that spans across several disciplines. • (g) The ratio relates economic theory, to demography, to geopolitical theory in the ICM+IEM=FCGPFM system, and… • (h) since it relates economic supply/n-persons polity, it integrates politics to the chain of economics, demographics and geopolitical theories required to to form a logically coherent model of the macro behavioral studies. • Sidebar charts • Velikovsky https://storyality.wordpress.com/2013/08/23/storyality-71-consilience-is-coming- read-all-about-it/
25. The need for a unified theoretical framework • Since the per capita GNP ratio signifies so many things, • it is the mathematical ‘crossroads’ of the philosophical and social sciences, • and achieves “consilience” in terms of the chart to the right. • Hence the per capita GNP ratio is the most versatile… • qualitative-to-quantitative interdisciplinary framework that • relates ultimate causality in the discipline of philosophy to proximate causality in the social sciences. • Sidebar • Velikovsky https://storyality.wordpress.com/2013/08/23/storyality-71- consilience-is-coming-read-all-about-it/
26. The need for a unified theoretical framework • The most versatile mathematical framework in turn • readily links to Aristotle’s Six Forms of Government because • it is reasonable to assume that the Proper Forms of Government… • that “rule in the interest of the ruled” • would invest more in their political economy, and have a higher multiplier coefficient measuring economic growth, • and a higher gini coefficient measuring greater income and living standard resource distributions, • with population growth as a constant at this stage of the model. • Sidebar • Esperon https://www.quora.com/What-are-Aristotles-six- types-of-government
27. Aristotle’s Six Forms and the PC GNP ratio integrate the system • The charts on the next four slides illustrate how… • Aristotle’s Six Forms of Government is the central framework • that integrates the micro and macro frameworks that comprise • the ICM+IEM=FCGPFM system. • The key aspects are • (1) the constructive vs destructive behavioral dynamic working premise is derived from the Proper and Perverted Forms of Aristotle. • (2) Aristotle’s Six Proper and Perverted Forms integrates with the facilitative vs debilitative psychological character orientation theories are categorized by Maddi 1971. • (3) Aristotle’s proper and Perverted Forms integrates with the virtuous vs vicious cycles in economic theory, and is therefore the behavioral framework that integrates the system, while… • (4) the per capita GNP ratio of economic growth rates of change / population growth rates of change is the mathematical framework that integrates the political, economic, demographic and geopolitical system of frameworks.
28. Aristotle’s Six Forms of Government: the basic elements Proper Forms of Government Value Neutral Forms of Government Perverted Forms of Government Aristocracy The Rule of the One Tyranny Monarchy The Rule of the Few Oligarchy Constitutional Democracy (a republic) The Rule of the Many Mob Rule Democracy
29. Aristotle’s Six Forms integration with Economic indicators Constructive behavioral dynamic Constructive vs Destructive working premise Destructive behavioral dynamic Proper Forms of Government Value neutral Government Forms Low to High Consensus Categories Perverted Forms of Government Where the rulers rule in the interest of the ruled. Working definitions Where the rulers ruler in the interest of themselves High investment High multiplier coefficient High Gini coefficient (population growth as a constant) Economic characteristics Low Investment Low multiplier coefficient Low Gini coefficient (population growth as a constant) Aristocracy Rule of the One Tyranny Monarchy Rule of the Few Oligarchy Constitutional Democracy Rule of the Many Mob Rule Democracy
30. Aristotle’s Six Forms of Government integrated with the psychological continuums Constructive behavioral dynamic Proper Forms of Government Value Neutral Forms of Government Perverted Forms of Government Where the rulers rule in the interest of the ruled. Working definitions Where the rulers rule in the interest of themselves. High investment Economic determinants Low investment Facilitative character orientation Productive character orientation Facilitative vs Debilitation dichotomy Productive vs Sado-masochistic dichotomy Debilitative character orientation Sadomasochistic character orientation Monarchy Rule of the One Tyranny Aristocracy Rule of the Few Oligarchy Constitutional Democracy Rule of the Many Mob Rule Democracy
31. The Lateral Integration of Frameworks Framework Framework Framework Framework Framework Framework Framework Framework ICM Behavioral dynamic Psyche dichotomy Aristotle’s 6 Forms Per capita GNP ratio Technology and population growth FCGPFM developed vs less-developed PMESII DIME lo to hi power rating ICM constructive facilitative Proper High economic growth/low population growth Technology and population growth First World Second World High level + Major Power ICM destructive debilitative Perverted Low economic growth/high population growth Technology and population growth Third World Fourth World Low Level = Less power
32. The need for a unified theoretical framework • In contrast, the perverted Forms of Government, • where “the rulers rule in the interest of themselves”, • it is logical to assume that the rulers would invest less in their political economy and extract more, • and would therefore have a lower multiplier coefficient measuring economic growth, • and a lower gini coefficient measuring income distribution, • with population growth as a constant at this stage of the model. • The meaning of this is that the per capita GNP ratio • readily merges an integrated macroeconomic/demographic framework • with a comprehensive political framework.
33. The need for a unified theoretical framework • Aristotle’s system is said to be the most comprehensive of the political explanatory frameworks because, • (a) it is based on the bifurcated continuum dichotomy format of the Proper and Perverted Government Form system as mentioned in the previous slide, that is the basis for… • (b) the use of the constructive vs destructive behavioral dynamic bifurcated dichotomy continuum as the working hypothesis concept, whereby… • (c) Aristotle’s Proper and Perverted Form dichotomy can be integrated with the virtuous and vicious economic cycle concept in economic theory, and… • (d) the facilitative vs debilitative psychological personality theory dichotomy of Maddi in detailed in Personality Theories: a comparative analysis, • and then related to the biophilous-necrophilous and productive- sadomasochistic character orientation dichotomies of Fromm • that explains competent and/or well adjusted integrated psyches vs incompetent and/or maladjusted dis-integrated psyches, • which represents the advancement of Freud’s integrated-disintegrated psychical concept in his “life and death instinct” theory.
34. The need for a unified theoretical framework • With this understanding, it was Aristotle’s Six Forms of Government • that gave rise to the constructive vs destructive behavioral dynamic working premise as the integrative methodology, • which illuminates the compatible frameworks, • as well as the common causal theme of the philosophical and social sciences in terms of Vernon Smith’s ecological vs constructivist dichotomy • as the common causal theme of the comparative ideological systems in the social sciences as well, which • operationalizes Adam Smith “invisible hand” metaphor, • as well as Kant’s autonomy-heteronomy distinction. • The conclusion is that Aristotle’s Six Forms of Government is the most versatile and comprehensive behavioral framework in the philosophical and social sciences as it is the central edifice that other micro and macro frameworks can attach to. • Sidebar • The Economist https://www.economist.com/the-world-if/2017/07/13/a-world-of- free-movement-would-be-78-trillion-richer
35. Aristotle’s Six Forms and the PCNP ratio are the central frameworks of “consilience” • Thus, the ICM+IEM=FCGPFM system is based on • the integration of the most versatile behavioral system of Aristotle which provides the aspect of behavioral consilience to the system, • that naturally conjoins to the most versatile mathematical framework of the per capita GNP ratio that provides the mathematic consilience to the system, • where the constructive vs destructive behavioral dynamic working integrative premise which provides underlying principle that unifies the knowledge of the two frameworks. • The understanding of the three major components, and the three fundamental elements will keep the model simple as the model encompasses more subfield frameworks and become more complex. • It is this simple to complex set of three fundamentals linked to three major components that a real interdisciplinary program should be based upon.
36. Aristotle’s Six Forms and the PC GNP ratio should be the basis of a true interdisciplinary program • This system of simple fundamentals and complex major components • encompasses all thje major elements for an ICM based system to • supersede the autarkic Standard Social Scientific Model • that advances Marxist idealism, but obfuscates the three fundamental errors of Marxism, • that the antiscientific faux “interdisciplinary” programs in the Western University system now practice.
37. The overarching trends, political trends and changing geopolitical Forms • As will be become increasingly clear, this ICM based system will expose both causal errors in the current scientific disciplines of isolated economic theories and isolated demographic models, that have no need to be isolated since economic and demographic theories can be fully integrated via the per capita GNP ratio. • This is true because the ICM+IEM=FCGPFM system • links the series of psychological, political, economic/demographic frameworks, • to the two primary overarching trends of technology leading causing a change in population growth from a rather linear function to a logarithmic function, • which in turn has led to the two secondary trends of the migration of manufacturing facilities to the South, and the mass migration of peoples to the North, • where clearly global population growth is outpacing of global economic growth, • and clearly first World democratic countries are characterized by a tight wage labor market conditions, • while Fourth World failed states tyrannies are clearly characterized by catastrophically loose wage labor market conditions.
38. Using the per capita GNP ratio as the basis for success-failure parameters • This simple tight vs catastrophically loose wage labor rate correlation to • Aristotle’s low to high consensus of Government Form categories, i.e. the rule of the one, the few and the many, • leads to the idea hypothesis that the more global population growth outpaces global economic growth, then the more the global wage labor market conditions will shift toward the catastrophically loose wage labor market scenario, • and the more the low-to-high consensus of government Forms will shift toward the low consensus Forms. • Democracies only exist with a combination of a constructive facilitative behavioral dynamic combined with a tight wage labor market conditions, that will become increasingly clear as this model develops. • It is this combination of constructive facilitative vs destructive debilitative behavioral dynamic model correlates to a tight vs catastrophically loose wage labor market scenario which translates into the basic two success-failure parameters of liberal democracies. • It is not the infinite expansion of civil liberties and civil rights as the Marcusian critical theorists and post modernist French Intellectuals contend.
39. Rational Actor Belief, Preference and Constraint Models • Since the decline of the wage labor market conditions covaries with the rise of global population growth and technology, it is predictable that there will be a rise in Fourth World failed states, especially as the amount of personal, local, state, provincial and national debts rises in the First World liberal democracies. • Under these conditions, using the Rational Actor belief, preference and constraint model rationale, it is not too difficult to imagine that the contemporary Marxists in academia, politics, law and the media will increasingly call for confiscatory taxes of the investment class, • and the increased regulation of the means of multinational corporations, • aimed at control over the means of production and control over the fruits one one’s labor to advance equity following Marxist edicts.
40. Economic growth/population growth proportions and stability-instability parameters • However, the more one studies the Latin American social experiments under high population growth conditions, • the more regulation of the means of production leads to economic dysfunction, • and the more the investment class is debilitated, and the resources shift to equity and consumption, • the more the economic growth aspects depicted in the per capita GNP ratio simplification decline, • as population continues to expand in the denominator of the per capita GNP ratio, • leading to the result of a economic collapse, financial inflation, and political instability.
41. The three fundamental errors of Marxism and the lack of projection analysis • The contemporary interdisciplinary programs in the Western University system advances • (a) the tabla rasa concept as the means of gaining female adherents by advancing and women’s rights in terms of the Marx-Engels-De Beauvoir- Leacocke thought lineage, • (b) and maintain the false feasibility of Marxist socialism by repeating the spurious correlation of the existence of market economies, the existence of income disparity, and the false hypothesis that the more free the market is, the more inequitable the system, and high redistributive and regulatory programs will remedy the problem, • (c) therefore, the Western Academia uses the false class struggle premise to shout down non Marxist arguments and programs that support the bourgeois society to ‘transform the system.”
42. Correlating analytical frameworks and the two overarching trends • In contrast, • this system predicts that as global population increases, especially in the developing world as the Annenberg chart depicts, • the two primary and two secondary trends will persist, leading to a global catastrophically loose wage labor scenario, • where redistributive programs will merely further over load the already overloaded pattern of personal, local, state/provincial and national debt burdens • leading to a Latin American Death spiral as Venezuela is going through now.
43. The lack of analytical criteria, they are saying real socialism would produce the desired outcome • The neo Marxian post modernist academicians, politicians and journalists routinely • dismiss criticism of past Marxist Communist and Socialist experiments by arguing that the leaders didn’t follow Marx’s idea in strict practice, • or that Democratic Socialist leaders become authoritarian after they nationalize the means of production and move to confiscatory taxes or land expropriation, • as if these programs are not inherently authoritarian in nature. • What the Left is arguing is that real socialism and real communism has never been implemented because it did not produce the utopian outcome.
44. “Real Communism” and “Real Socialism” has never been practiced • In essence, • the post modern Left keeps on making the excuse that since the neither leaders, or the led, • of the past Marxist experiments didn’t follow the script, and therefore, since the desired utopian outcome did not occur, • that “real” Communism and real Socialism has never been practiced, • and therefore it should be attempted again.
45. Missing the point of the nomos-physis distinction • The problem with the many arguments that • real Marxism Communism has not been practiced, • or real socialism has not been practiced, • or that Venezuelan Socialist experiment is not real socialism, • or failed because it did not remain democratic, • miss the point of the nomos-physis distinction of understanding the role of ‘belief systems’ and the psychical shaping of ‘culture’ on ‘human nature’ entirely.
46. The nomos-physis distinction • People don’t follow ideological scripts!!! • Instead, real people continually… • compete for resources and mates, • and economic gain and social status • for self-survival and survival of the species • in accordance with Darwinian theory, deriving from millions of years of selection pressures. • The conclusion is threefold. • (1) People either compete constructively or destructively according to the belief system’s complimentary or adverse effect on human nature. • (2) A belief system cannot change the fixed constant of human nature and the inherited selection pressures. • (3) In examination of the Great Ideological Experiments of the 20th Century, • the Marx-Engels tabla rasa infinitely malleable premise is false, and the political, economic and geopolitical macro ideological premises are also false.
47. Part Two The Three Fundamental Errors of Marxism, the SSSM and the Faux Interdisciplinary Programs Part Two explains the three primary problems of the autarkic Standard Social Scientific Model as being: (1) most of the social sciences have abandoned the scientific method, (2) the disciplines that have adopted some scientific procedures have not adopted compatible frameworks that would allow them to link laterally under a single casual schema to understand and express first, second and third order effects reflecting changes in trends or changes in policies, (3) the existing faux interdisciplinary programs use spurious correlation arguments to support the three fundamental errors of Marxism. In contrast, the three primary elements of: (1) the constructive vs destructive behavioral dynamic working premise, (2) Aristotle’s Six Forms of Government as the integrative behavioral schema of the human studies, and (3) the per capita GNP ratio of economic growth/population growth are the keys to developing and advancing a unified theory of the philosophical and social sciences. These three fundamental elements of “consilience” should become the basis of developing a real interdisciplinary program for the philosophical and social sciences.
48. The problems with the lack of scientific models and isolated scientific models • The problems with the autarkic Standard Social Scientific Model are primarily threefold. • First, as the previous slide sets discussed, • many of the soft philosophical and social sciences have abandoned the scientific project of establishing “objective measures and standards” for their respective disciplines. (Bloom 1988) • For example Gintis discussed, • the discipline of psychology produces “nanomodels” describing isolated facets of human behavior in great detail with “no analytical linkages between them” (that explains a functioning human being in the context of the evolutionary process as a whole), • and the discipline of sociology, which is supposed to be a fusion of psychology and political elite social theories, has no core principles after existing for well over a century (that explains human psychological health in the context of the evolutionary process as it adapts to the post industrial era of technology and extreme population growth).
49. The coalition of the scientific disciplines • Hence the sociobiological and evolutionary theoretical movement… • has been teaming up with key figures in the interdisciplinary economic sciences and the various behavioral economics movements in an attempt to develop a unification of the behavioral sciences. • This was the subject matter of • Tooby and Cosmides essay entitled “The Psychological Foundations of Culture” appearing in The Adapted Mind (1992), and • E. O. Wilson’s book entitled “Consilience” (1998) which explains that the physical sciences have an underlying set of principles that unify neighboring disciplines, • and explains how complex phenomenon derives from simple sets of casual mechanisms. • The point of the work of the sociobiology and evolutionary psychology movements began by Wilson and Tooby and Cosmides respectively, • is that this unity of knowledge principle and complexity theory schemas are peculiarly absent in the social sciences.
50. Preserving the validity of Gramscism in the long march through the institutions • So far in Slides Sets 1 and 2, • the research design and the fundamental elements of the ICM+IEM=FGPFM has already been explained in distinction to the autarkic Standard Social Scientific Model, • which, after the appearance of the new ICM based system, can only serve the purpose of obfuscating the three fundamental errors of Marxism, • in order to preserve the validity of Marxist theory in the post 20th Century Great Ideological Experiment era. • Today the SSSM is based on advancing post Gramscian Marxism as it represents the path to political and institutional power of the soft social studies over the bourgeois system.
51. The research design and the linking frameworks have been identified • The problems of consilience and complexity theory in the regards to the development of a unified theory of the philosophical and social sciences has been: • (a) the lack of an overarching research design that explains the criteria in the key framework selection process, • (b) the purpose of the key frameworks is to link the two disciplines of evolutionary psychology and economic theory which already use Baconian, Cartesian and Bayesian methods. • (c) the key frameworks must represent the key areas of the soft philosophical and social sciences that have abandoned the scientific method, • while also providing the means of transforming these disciplines through the single continuum nominal and ordinal levels scales to • causal dual and triple continuum interval level qualitative causal theories which can be turned into ratio level models.
52. A reminder of the key frameworks in sequence • The key frameworks that fill the gap between evolutionary psychology and economics has already been thoroughly explained in slide set one. • In the ICM+IEM=FCGPFM system, • the IEM that represents the environmental shaping frameworks are a modified version of Freud’s life and death instinct model, Fromm’s biophilous vs necrophilous and productive vs sadomasochistic character orientation dichotomy as the overarching ultimate casual theory, in the comparative analysis schema of Maddi, • which links to Aristotle’s Six Forms of Government, • which links to the per capita GNP ratio representing economic growth theories/demographic statistical models, • that relates to the two primary trends of technology and population growth, and the Four Category Geopolitical Form Model consisting of First, Second, Third and Fourth World failed states.
53. The three fundamental elements of consilience and complexity • Out of the previous list of frameworks, this section is focusing on the three most essential aspects of the ICM+IEM=FCGPFM system. • The three fundamental elements of consilience are: • (1) the constructive vs destructive behavioral dynamic premise • (2) Aristotle’s Six Forms of Government base don the Proper and Perverted Form behavioral dynamic dichotomy • (3) the per capita GNP ratio based on the virtuous and vicious cycles of economic theory and economic growth/demographic rates of change and proportions… • …represents the basis of linking the disciplines of Politics, Economics, Demography, and the geopolitical studies of political risk assessment, and PMESII, DIME and SWOT national power and strategic analysis.
54. The significance of the constructive vs destructive behavioral dynamic premise • The first elements of consilience is the constructive vs destructive behavioral dynamic dichotomy premise because… • it provides the underlying behavioral principle • That links the theoretical dichotomy systems of Freud, Fromm and Maddi in psychological personality theories, • to the Proper and Perverted Forms of Aristotle, • with the virtuous and vicious economic cycles in macroeconomic growth and development theories, • to the First, Second, Third and Fourth World geopolitical categories. • The constructive vs destructive behavioral premise represents a positive vs negative behavioral dichotomy element that aligns all of the micro and macro behavioral frameworks.
55. Connecting the Macro Frameworks • (2) The primary behavioral framework in the human studies is Aristotle’s Six Forms of Government because it is based on… • the bifurcated dichotomy of the Proper and Perverted Form elite vs elite dynamic model, • which depicts a constructive vs destructive behavioral dynamic that translates into • a positive-sum gain human relationship vs a zero-sum and negative sum behavioral gradational continuum in game theoretical terms.
56. Connecting the Macro Frameworks • (2) continued.. • It should also be noted that Democracies tend to only exist on high economic growth/low population growth tight wage labor scenarios, and tyrannical and oligarchical polities tend to exist in low economic growth/ high population growth scenarios with loose, to catastrophically loose wage labor markets. • The significance is that Aristotle’s Six Forms has both • a constructive vs destructive behavioral dynamic aspect, • and a tight vs catastrophically loose wage labor aspect also, • which gives is the two primary continuums required for the development of a ratio level Cartesian model.
57. Connecting the Macro Frameworks • (2) continued • In this context, the Proper Forms that rule in the interest of the ruled and invest more in society have high growth rates and are facilitative to the needs of the ruled in terms of Montesquieu’s The Spirit of the Laws, and in terms of the facilitative psychological character orientation theories of Rogers and Maslow. • In contrast the Perverted Forms that rule in the interest of themselves • and invest less in the populous in general as the means of debilitating economic rivals as the means of thwarting political rivals and while enhancing the fitness level of family dynasties over time, • tend to have low growth rates and are debilitative of the needs of the ruled in terms of Montesquieu and the debilitative psychological character orientation theories of Rogers and Maslow.
58. Connecting the Macro Frameworks • (2) continued… • The relationship of the constructive vs destructive behavioral premise to Aristotle’s Six Forms of Government is vital because • it connects an overarching series of psychological, political and economic frameworks to the Four Category Geopolitical Form Model • in terms of an economic growth/population growth proportions that translates into the tight vs catastrophically loose wage labor rate continuum scale that is the basis of the FCGPFM.
59. Connecting the Macro Frameworks • (2) continued… • The importance of this is to advance the ideas expressed in Lipset’s article entitled “Some Social Requisites of Democracy: Economic Development and Political Legitimacy”, • which gave rise to the editions of Democracy in Developing Countries: Latin America with Diamond and Linz first appearing in 1988, • which gave rise to Przeworski and Limongi’s paper entitled Modernization: Theories and Facts which appeared in World Politics (1997), and subsequent books on modernization theory by Przeworski, • which all discuss the relationship of economic development and political development theories. • While slide set 6.0 is devoted to this subject, it should be mentioned here to provide the reader with an idea of the theories that the ICM+IEM=FCGPFM is integrating
60. Modernization Theory: Przeworski and Limongi 1997 • The basic questions discussed by Przeworski and Limongi are: • “What makes political regimes rise, endure, and fall?” • “Do democracies emerge as a consequence of economic development? • Does rapid economic growth destabilize democracies?” • “Is there some level of development beyond which democracies are more likely to fall? • Is European history unique or is it repeating itself in contemporary less developed countries?” … • “Our purpose is to distinguish two theories that relate economic development and democracy and to examine some facts in light of these theories.” • In context of the questions expressed by Przezworski and Limongi, the answer is that Democracies only exist within certain behavioral dimensions in direct relationship to economic growth/population growth proportions.
61. The goal of Modernization theory: relating political, economic and geopolitical Forms • The goal of modernization theory since the writings of Weber • as it progressed to the writings of Lipset 1959, Rostow 1971 and Organski 1965, • has essentially been the linking economic growth and development theories to political development theories to explain and define geopolitical outcomes with the express intent of moving all nations to First World status. • It is in this evolution of thought… • that the idea of linking political and economic theories to geopolitical Forms was conceived, and eventually evolved into the ICM+IEM=FCGPFM system.
62. The three fundamental frameworks of “consilience” • The Third Framework... • (3) the relevance of linking the working behavioral premise to political and economic theory to the two primary and two secondary trends, • to the Four Category Geopolitical Form Model, may have initially been developed to advance modernization theory, • but has the collateral benefit of operationalizing Wilson’s concept of consilience and complexity theory in the philosophical and social sciences. • The key economic framework of • the per capita GNP ratio simplification of economic growth theory/population growth statistical models is that • it relates all the major macro Form frameworks mentioned above in a singular Cartesian system. • The per capita GNP ratio simplification is the key qualitative to quantitative framework.
63. The Three fundamental behavioral premise, behavioral framework and mathematical elements • In conclusion to this first problem is that • the (1) constructive vs destructive working premise that connects • (2) Aristotle’s Six Forms as the integrative behavioral framework of the human studies, to (3) the Per Capital GNP ratio as the integrative mathematical principle, • that gave rise to the modification of the subjective First, Second and Third World system to the objective FCGPFM system based on the tight vs catastrophically loose wage labor rate continuum, • and are the three fundamental elements of “consilience” in the philosophical and social sciences.
64. The problem of mainstream isolated models: they do not link laterally • The second problem should be readily apparent from the discussion of the first problem, • i.e. the disciplines who have tried to link political, economic and geopolitical theories, and do use Cartesian causal models and Bayesian statistical models • do not know how to develop an integrative methodology that leads to a series of compatible frameworks where a common causal theme can be determined.
65. Laterally integrating frameworks to forecast 1st, 2nd and 3rd order effects • As this slide set will indicate, • the inability to laterally link the macro frameworks to the dynamic trends or technology and population growth directly, • inhibits many disciplines in the development of dynamic models used in predictive trend analysis, • and increases the difficulty of accurately conveying the first, second and third order effects of the factors that comprise global change from researchers between neighboring disciplines. • The problem is that academicians and advisors that make policy proposals that fix one problem, tend not to understand the trade-offs needed to foresee the resulting collateral damage that can be demonstrated by a neghboring discipline.
66. The faux interdisciplinary programs • The third problem is the faux interdisciplinary programs • in the soft philosophical and social sciences that make no effort to coordinate with the scientific disciplines of sociobiology and evolutionary psychology, • and have not developed their disciplines through the nominal, ordinal interval and ratio levels of modeling, • tend to advocate the equality of outcome driven table rasa concept, • in combination with the other two fundamental errors of Marxism primarily being the spurious correlation of market economies and inequality without controlling for other dynamic variables, and the false class struggle premise, • comprise the faux interdisciplinary programs that are en vogue in the Western University system today.
67. The faux Interdisciplinary programs and their reduction to small scale counter arguments • The problem here is that the soft philosophical and social sciences, • that advance Marxist theory and wittingly, or unwittingly, and advance the three fundamental errors of Marxism, • cannot create a unifying principle of causality, and as a result are permanently reduced to producing small scale counter arguments against: • either gender differentiated theories of the post Freudian era and the hardwired domain specific models of the sociobiological and evolutionary psychology movements, • or against neoclassical economic theories. • The gender differentiated hardwired domain general strong instinctual drive premise is necessary to explain why humans exist today and the two trends of technology and population growth, while neoclassical economics best explains how people compete for economic gain and social status.
68. The small scale counter arguments cannot explain the large scale persistent patterns • The problem of the tabla rasa infinitely malleable domain general premise, as Barkow, Tooby and Cosmides, and Buss point out, is that • the Marxian gender neutral tabla rasa premise cannot explain human existence in terms of culture as the manifestation of an evolutionary stable strategy in a sociological structural functional sense. • It is this reality that the formation of culture is necessarily aimed at tribal survival, that the frameworks selected in the ICM+IEM=FCGPFM system explain the full range of human behavior in a system of stabilities and instabilities as well. • This system naturally integrates via the constructive vs destructive behavioral dynamic working premise which refers to the constructive vs destructive forms of competition for self- survival and survival of the species, the pursuit of resources and mates, and the pursuit of economic gain and social status, which explains highly functional and productive societies in distinction to dysfunctional low production societies with low trust and high crime. • This set of ideas leads to the conclusion that a real interdisciplinary program should be based on a series of evolutionary, psychological, political, economic, demographic and geopolitical system of stabilities and non-stabilities.
69. The SSSM, faux interdisciplinary programs and the advancement of post modernism • Yet, at present, • today’s interdisciplinary programs are not based on frameworks that explain the full range of human behavioral in a system of functional vs dysfunctional Forms, • or a system of stabilities vs instabilities that are also consistent with high vs low levels of relative equity. • Instead, the dysfunctional soft philosophical and social sciences • band together in dysfunctional faux interdisciplinary programs to argue against • the hardwired domain general gender differentiated theories of pre and post Freudian psychological theory, • and against Austrian School neoclassical economic theory, • In favor of central planning and the nonself-actualized character orientations.
70. The faux interdisciplinary programs • It is the existence of the faux interdisciplinary programs that… • maintain the autarkic Standard Social Scientific Model that advance Marxian ideas via ‘critical theory’ and ‘post modernism,’ • Do so in order to advance half baked ideas that are based on the three fundamental errors of Marxism, • with the end goal of transformation of the West to persuade the voters to enact heavily regularity and redistributive programs, • whereby the government bureaucracies have greater control over the means of production and the fruit of one’s labor, • without realizing that the large scale bureaucracies usurp the very democratic process that emplaced them. • The faux interdisciplinary programs in the Western University system has been having a negative impact on the disciplines that do produce scientific theories and statistical models by advancing fanciful ideals over ‘real theories.’ (see Homans 1964, Harsanyi 1969)
71. The skewing of the methodological disciplines • As is widely discussed in alternative media • in the Intellectual Dark Web since the Brett Weinstein affair at Evergreen State College in Spring of 2017, • the problem is many academicians are cowed into advocating for post modernist Socialist ideals and policies, • that in actuality, are absurd if examined with the laterally linking of the confirmed series of frameworks that comprise ICM+IEM=FCGPFM.
72. Integrating all major macro models via the PC GNP ratio • Or put another way, • the more one examines the ICM based constructive vs destructive behavioral dynamic system, • and understands that there are only 6 Forms of government, • which can all be understood in terms of a three continuum method of continuum dichotomies of • (a) low-to-high educated countries, • (b) low-to-high economic growth countries, and • (c) low-to-high population growth countries, • then the more one understands that all of the macro • political, political sociological, economic, demographic and geopolitical national power, stability-instability risk analysis, and • Bismarkian diplomacy and wargaming models • can all be fully integrated by a GNP ratio based schema.
73. Utopian ideals masquerading as ‘theories’ • The problem with the soft philosophical and social sciences and… • the faux interdisciplinary programs in the Western University system is that they are advancing emotionally based Socialist ideals, • while ignoring the confirmed frameworks rather than advancing them through the nominal, ordinal interval and ratio levels of modeling, • and interjecting erroneous ideals masquerading as theories into the interdisciplinary discourse, • which is having the effect of skewing the consensus results of the disciplines that do use scientific methodologies.
74. Using the per capita GNP ratio to integrate the major macro frameworks • The next few sections will explain why the per capita GNP ratio simplification is… • the key qualitative-to-quantitative mathematical frameworks that links • the macro behavioral frameworks of political theory, political sociology (using Aristotle’s Six Forms), macroeconomics, and demography to • the two persistent trends of technology and population growth, • and on to the Four Geopolitical Forms, • as they relate to the political risk and intelligence assessment techniques of • PMESII (Political, Military, Economic, Social, Infrastructural and Informational), DIME (Diplomatic, Informational, Military and Economic) and Symmetrical and asymmetrical wargaming analysis, • where real humans are in strategic competition for resources to advance their people over other peoples.
75. Using the per capita GNP ratio to integrate the major macro frameworks • This slide set is arguing that all the major macro behavioral disciplines • listed in the previous slide • should be laterally linked into one singular schema of connected frameworks • via the per capita GNP ratio simplification. • The three fundamental elements of consilience, i.e. • the constructive vs destructive behavioral dynamic system, • Aristotle’s Six Forms of Government and • the per capita GNP ratio, • should be the basis of developing a real interdisciplinary program, • beginning with the coordination of the disciplines that already use some form of Cartesian and Bayesian methodologies.
76. Part Three The deleterious effect of post modernism on the methodological disciplines This section begins the explanation that the abject abandonment of the scientific method by the soft philosophical and social sciences has led them to fill the gap between evolutionary theory and the disciplines of economics and demography with fanciful ideals that have become fashionable, but far from feasible. The next few section extend the argument began in Slide Set 2.0 that the SSSM is increasingly linking the false tabla rasa foundational premise to unworkable political and economic ideals. This trend of proffering fanciful ideals is negatively filling the void where real scientific models should be and is negatively influencing the more scientific disciplines. This assertion will become increasingly clear the more one understands: (a) how the per capita GNP ratio simplification integrates Aristotle’s Six Forms of government, to macroeconomic theory, to demographic statistical models, to the Four Category Geopolitical Form Model, and on to the national power and risk assessment areas of PMESII, DIME, SWOT assessment methodologies. The reality is that all of these major macro frameworks rise and fall together in accordance with economic growth/demographic proportions. The use of the per capita GNP ratio simplification as a lateral integration tool offers and means of weeding out the fanciful ideals.
77. The lack of scientific procedures in the soft philosophical and social sciences • It is the contention of the slide set series in general, and the next few sections in particular, that • the antiscientific movement in the Western University system has been proffering persuasive ideals masquerading as ‘theories’, • which has had a deleterious effect on the advancement of the socials sciences as a whole because they have a negative influence on the more scientific social sciences. • As will be demonstrated over the next few sections, the more scientific disciplines that do produce ‘real theories’ have steadily incorporated ideals that are fashionable, and certainly not because they are feasible. • Sidebar • https://www.storemypic.com/album/e-o-wilson- quotes.fAy/?sort=date_desc&page=9&pagination
78. The lack of scientific procedures in the soft philosophical and social sciences • It is also the contention of this section that.. • (a) the SSSM model that defends the isolation of disciplines and areas of study to research independently, • (b) prevents the lateral integration of macro political, economic, demographic and geopolitical models the isolated subfield frameworks, which.. • (c) can be remedied with the development of a true scientific interdisciplinary program based on the ICM+IEM=FCGPFM system. • Sidebar • https://www.storemypic.com/album/e-o-wilson- quotes.fAy/?sort=date_desc&page=9&pagination
79. The lack of scientific procedures in the soft philosophical and social sciences • A true interdisciplinary program is based on the idea of providing • the intervening frameworks from the soft social studies to • the existing sociobiogical, evolutionary psychological, and interdisciplinary economic and behavioral economic movements. • Sidebar • https://www.storemypic.com/album/e-o-wilson- quotes.fAy/?sort=date_desc&page=9&paginatio n
80. The three fundamental errors of Marxism • To refresh the reader’s memory, the three fundamental errors of Marxism consist of: • (1) the false foundational premise of the tabla rasa infinitely malleable premise as discussed by Symons (1979), Barkow, Tooby and Cosmides (1992) and Pinker (2002) • (2) the spurious correlation of the existence of market economies, and the existence of inequality, and the unfounded belief that heavily bureaucratic and centrally planned redistributive Democratic Socialism, or Social Democracy can remedy the problem, and.. • (3) the false ‘class struggle’ premise which attributes human progress in terms of equality and equity of outcome occur due to • the class struggle between the rich and the poor, the bourgeois and proletariat, or the haves and the have nots, or the oppressor and the oppressed.
81. The three fundamental errors of Marxism • The ‘class struggle’ premise is “false” • because it is merely an emotional appeal to insurrection, • and is in no way a causal argument that explains • a rise of ‘consciousness’ that leads to a rise in cooperativeness in organization • that gives rise to ‘progress’ in terms of a preferable political system • and a more functional and productive political economy if one is to translate the terms used by Ricoeur into this system.
82. Causal arguments, explanatory theories and scientific models • A causal argument is one that gives rise to • an explanatory theory and an analytical framework that distinguishes between functional and dysfunctional systems along multiple criteria, • expressed on polar dichotomies that explain the full range of outcomes, • which gives rise to measurement systems that give rise to leading and lagging indicators, • that once placed into a schema, gives rise to an Cartesian system. • The example here is … • Aristotle’s Six Forms of Government model which distinguishes between • the constructive vs destructive elite vs. elite rivalry dynamics • in terms of the Proper and Perverted Form categories, • and the low-to-high consensus scale of the rule of the one, the few and the many, • where the preferable liberal democracies (high consensus/suffrage, and Proper Form) • only seem to exist in high economic growth/low population growth proportions.
83. Population growth and the declining wage equilibrium • It is the contention of this unified theoretical framework of analysis applied to current trends that… • the existence of market economies, • and the existence of both inequalit