11h00 Willis

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Information about 11h00 Willis

Published on March 11, 2008

Author: Florence

Source: authorstream.com

Slide1:  Peter Willis Southern African Director Why Non-Motorized Transport is About to Step Out of the Shadows 22nd February 2007 Slide2:  Building the capacity of society’s leaders to respond creatively to changing global circumstances, needs and expectations. Slide3:  Senior Executive Seminars on Sustainability and Business Organised Each Year in Cambridge, Cape Town, Salzburg, New York, California, Sydney by Slide4:  Reasons to Promote Non-Motorized Transport Slide5:  Pennsylvania, 1859 Horse Slide6:  40 yrs Global Oil Discoveries:  Global Oil Discoveries ExxonMobil 2003 GLOBAL OIL PRODUCTION 40 yrs? Slide8:  Source: IEA Slide9:  Source: ASPO www.peakoil.net 2006 Slide10:  Source: ASPO $??? If you can’t find it, make it!:  If you can’t find it, make it! Gas to Liquids Coal to Liquids Ethanol blends Slide12:  Fresh investments in conventional oil “Non-conventional oils” Can they fill the gap? Slide13:  CLIMATE CHANGE Slide14:  The last 160,000 years and the next 100 years CO2 and Temperature: Time (thousands of years) 160 120 80 40 Now –10 0 10 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 CO 2 in 2100 ?? (with business as usual) CO 2 now Temperature difference from now °C CO 2 concentration ( ppmv ) 800,000yr peak First record of modern humans * stabilisation level by 2100 Lowest possible CO 2 Slide18:  Source: IPCC, 2005 Slide19:  Last 150 years = + 0,7 degrees C To avoid catastrophic climate change: keep below + 2,0 degrees C Plus already “in the system” = + 0,5 degrees C We must all go on a carbon diet:  We must all go on a carbon diet “You first ...” “No, after you …”:  “You first ...” “No, after you …” Slide22:  NMT Slide23:  AUTO DEPENDENCE CONGESTION ROAD BUILDING ACCIDENTS ENERGY CONSUMPTION POLLUTION/GHG HEALTH DECLINE SUBURBAN SPRAWL SLUMS SPRAWL INCREASED TRAVEL TIMES REDUCED ACCESS TO PUBLIC TRANSPORT PUBLIC TRANSPORT DISINVESTMENT REDUCED ACCESS TO OPPORTUNITY SOCIAL INEQUALITY- FRUSTRATION CRIME/THEFT INSECURITY Slide24:  UNDERWAY IN: Bremen, Germany Toronto, Canada Cambridge, U.S. Shanghai, China Cities of South Africa? “shift happens” Slide28:  moving people moving goods moving less moving minds moving money Slide29:  World leaders in integrated, low carbon urban transport First Movers in the global New Mobility Industry Sector | CITIES OF SOUTH AFRICA (World Cup as Catalyst) Thank You & Enjoy the Conference !:  Thank You & Enjoy the Conference ! Peter Willis peter.willis@cpi.cam.ac.uk

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